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Framework for trading the coming dollar liquidity crisis

Summary:
For the past decade since the financial crisis, China has largely supplied incremental global liquidity. This is a fundamental change from previous decades where the US was the fulcrum. But, today the Chinese have realized they can no longer provide the same level of liquidity to fund growth given the rising debt levels in their economy. And so, the result is a global growth slowdown that will eventually lead to a shortage of dollars and, likely, a financial and political crisis. This is a shor...

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For the past decade since the financial crisis, China has largely supplied incremental global liquidity. This is a fundamental change from previous decades where the US was the fulcrum. But, today the Chinese have realized they can no longer provide the same level of liquidity to fund growth given the rising debt levels in their economy. And so, the result is a global growth slowdown that will eventually lead to a shortage of dollars and, likely, a financial and political crisis.

This is a shor...

Edward Harrison
I am a former European credit markets and M&A guy who started out as a diplomat. — so I have some pretty diverse interests.

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