This paper critically assesses the economics of New Developmentalism (ND). It begins by identifying and formalizing the principal components of ND which are identified as neutralizing Dutch disease, ending growth with foreign saving, development driven by a technologically advanced and internationally competitive manufacturing private sector, and getting macroeconomic prices right. It then examines four strands …
Read More »Articles by Thomas Palley
The Macroeconomics of Government Spending: Distinguishing Between Government Purchases, Government Production, and Job Guarantee Programs
June 14, 2021This paper reconstructs the Keynesian income – expenditure (IE) model to include distinctions between government purchases of private sector output, government production, and government job guarantee program (JGP) employment. Analytically, including those distinctions transforms the model from a single sector model into a multi-sector model. It also surfaces the logic behind the automatic stabilizer property …
Read More »Fascism unleashed: how the Republican Party sold its soul and now threatens democracy
June 4, 2021This essay argues that some forty years ago the Republican Party struck a Faustian bargain whereby it traded integrity and decency for tax cuts and a corporate dominated economy. Now, the Republican party is reaping the consequences of that bargain in the form of its capture by Donald Trump and his followers. However, it also …
Read More »2021 Godley-Tobin Lecture: Marc Lavoie, “Godley versus Tobin on Monetary Matters”
February 12, 2021REGISTER HERE.
Read More »Obamacare With a Public Option: Fool Me Twice Shame on Me
March 3, 2020There is an old saying “Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me.” That saying is relevant for the current healthcare debate in which former Vice-President Biden and elite Democrats are touting a reheated version of Obamacare with a public option. It is a case of trying to fool the American …
Read More »Bernie Sanders: Nothing to Fear Except Fear Itself
February 18, 2020“The only thing we have to fear is fear itself.” Eighty-seven years ago those were the words of Franklin Delano Roosevelt in his 1933 inaugural speech. Today, they resonate with Senator Bernie Sanders’ presidential campaign, which confronts a barrage of attack aimed at frightening away voters. Fear is the enemy of change and the friend …
Read More »Do current times vindicate Keynes and is New Keynesian macroeconomics Keynesian?
February 8, 2020Thomas I. Palley, Esteban Pérez Caldentey, and Matias Vernengo, Review of Keynesian Economics, January 2020. Professor Robert Rowthorn delivered the second annual Godley-Tobin lecture in New York City on March 1, 2019. The title of his lecture was “Keynesian economics: back from the dead?” and it is published in this issue of the Review of …
Read More »A Stock Market Boom is Not the Basis of Shared Prosperity
January 22, 2020The US is currently enjoying another stock market boom which, if history is any guide, also stands to end in a bust. In the meantime, the boom is having a politically toxic effect by lending support to Donald Trump and obscuring the case for reversing the neoliberal economic paradigm. For four decades the US economy …
Read More »The economics of negative interest rates: editors’ introduction
December 19, 2019Thomas Palley, Louis-Philippe Rochon, Guillaume Vallet , Review of Keynesian Economics, April 2019. The Great Recession (2008/9) triggered by the financial crisis of 2008 has had considerable impact on the conduct of monetary policy. Before the recession, monetary policy was largely based on a New Consensus-type macroeconomic model and it targeted inflation via a Taylor …
Read More »A Conservative win will create a neoliberal hot zone and dissolve the UK: here’s how to stop it
December 15, 2019I could not get this op-ed (written November 6, 2019) published as it was a mix of too dull & didactic, and too partisan or not partisan enough. Anyway, in the wake of the election, I think it was analytically spot on so I have decided to post it. Also, it makes clear the very …
Read More »Central Bank Independence: A Rigged Debate Based on False Politics and Economics
September 7, 2019The case for central bank independence is built on an intellectual two-step. Step one argues there is a problem of inflation prone government. Step two argues independence is the solution to that problem. This paper challenges that case and shows it is based on false politics and economics. The paper argues central bank independence is …
Read More »The Fallacy of the Natural Rate of Interest and Zero Lower Bound Economics: Why Negative Interest Rates May not Remedy Keynesian Unemployment
May 9, 2019This paper provides a critique of zero lower bound (ZLB) economics which has become the new orthodoxy for explaining stagnation. ZLB economics is an extension of pre-Keynesian economics which attributes macroeconomic dysfunction to rigidities and market imperfections. The ZLB is the latest rigidity in that pre-Keynesian tradition. The paper argues negative nominal interest rates, even …
Read More »What’s Wrong With Modern Money Theory (MMT): A Critical Primer
April 10, 2019Recently, there has been a burst of interest in modern money theory (MMT). The essential claim of MMT is sovereign currency issuing governments do not need taxes or bonds to finance government spending and are financially unconstrained. MMT rests on a triad of arguments concerning: (i) the macroeconomics of money financed budget deficits, (ii) the …
Read More »Macroeconomics vs. Modern Money Theory: Some Unpleasant Keynesian Arithmetic
April 4, 2019The last decade has witnessed a significant revival of belief in the efficacy of fiscal policy and mainstream economics is now reverting to the standard positions of mid-1970s Keynesianism. On the coattails of that revival, increased attention is being given to the doctrine of Modern Money Theory (MMT) which makes exaggerated claims about the economic …
Read More »Inequality and Stagnation by Policy Design: Mainstream Denialism and its Dangerous Political Consequences
January 30, 2019This paper argues the mainstream economics profession is threatened by theories of the financial crisis and ensuing stagnation that attribute those events to the policies recommended and justified by the profession. Such theories are existentially threatening to the dominant point of view. Consequently, mainstream economists resist engaging them as doing so would legitimize those theories. …
Read More »The Fracturing of Globalization: Implications of Economic Resentments and Geopolitical Contradictions
January 16, 2019The last forty years have witnessed a third wave of globalization which can be termed “neoliberal globalization”. Now, there are indications that the era of neoliberal globalization might be drawing to a close, as evidenced by the trade war between the US and China. This paper argues the fracturing of neoliberal globalization reflects the growing …
Read More »Recovering Keynesian Phillips curve theory: hysteresis of ideas and the natural rate of unemployment
October 29, 2018Economic theory is prone to hysteresis. Once an idea is adopted it is difficult to change. In the 1970s, the economics profession abandoned the Keynesian Phillips curve and adopted Milton Friedman’s natural rate of unemployment (NRU) hypothesis. The shift was facilitated by a series of lucky breaks. Despite much evidence against the NRU, and much …
Read More »Brazil is Falling Under an Evil Political Spell
October 12, 2018Brazil is falling under an evil political spell. The leading candidate in the presidential election is Jair Bolsonaro, an extreme right-wing politician. It is as if voters are sleepwalking their way to destruction of Brazilian democracy. Under the spell’s influence, they have become blind to the truth about Brazilian politics and blind to their better …
Read More »Job Guarantee Programs: Careful What You Wish For
September 14, 2018Some progressive economists are now arguing for the idea of a Job Guarantee Program (JGP), and their advocacy has begun to gain political traction. For instance, in the US, Bernie Sanders and some other leading Democrats have recently signaled a willingness to embrace the idea. In a recent research paper I have examined the macroeconomics …
Read More »Government Spending in the Income-Expenditure Model: Spending Composition, the Multiplier, and Job Guarantee Programs
September 14, 2018This paper reconstructs the income – expenditure (IE) model to include a distinction between government purchases of output versus government production. The distinction has important consequences for output and employment multipliers. The paper also extends the IE model to incorporate a government job guarantee program (JGP), and the extended model illuminates the automatic stabilizer properties …
Read More »Self Plagiarism Dissertation on Essay Writing Service
July 31, 2018A website to own argumentative essays Us scientific studies dissertation guidelines give to own groundwork accomplished get better at thesis what exactly is it a website to choose argumentative essays. A Website To Acquire Argumentative Essays A web site to choose argumentative essays. To see you the fact. Custom-made making essays; Acquire school essays onlin; …
Read More »Scholarship Essay Contests 2011 For College Students
July 30, 2018Regretably, no such hold exist. Lucky suitable for you, then again, one can find specialized writing companies that have got for an similar chore – and EssayMap.org is the most suitable! We may not have a shop, but there exists a 24/7 support service hub, willing authors and ideal providers geared to both of those …
Read More »Three Globalizations, Not Two: Rethinking the History and Economics of Trade and Globalization
July 24, 2018The conventional wisdom is there have been two globalizations in the modern era. The first began around 1870 and ended in 1914. The second began in 1945 and is still underway. This paper challenges that view and argues there have been three globalizations, not two. The first half of the paper provides empirical evidence for …
Read More »Globalization Checkmated? Political and Geopolitical Contradictions Coming Home to Roost
July 24, 2018The deepening of economic globalization appears to have ground to a halt and the process may even unravel a little. The sudden stop has surprised economists, whose belief in globalization has strong parallels with Fukuyama’s (1989) flawed end of history hypothesis. The paper presents a simple analytic model that shows how economic globalization has triggered …
Read More »how to write critical analytical essay
May 19, 2018how to write critical analytical essay Essay 4 Tips.The rest of the essay explores what it means for bestessayswriter Meghan to constantly see this reminder of failure and to transform it into a sense of acceptance of her imperfections.Jennifer holds a PhD and a master’s in library and information studies (MLIS) from the University of …
Read More »Negative interest rate policy (NIRP) and the fallacy of the natural rate of interest: Why NIRP may worsen Keynesian unemployment
May 16, 2018NIRP has quickly become a consensus policy within the economics establishment. This paper argues that consensus is dangerously wrong, resting on flawed theory and flawed policy assessment. Regarding theory, NIRP draws on fallacious pre-Keynesian classical economic logic that asserts there is a natural rate of interest which can ensure full employment. That pre-Keynesian logic has …
Read More »Modern Money Theory (MMT) vs. Structural Keynesianism
April 6, 20181. What are the major flaws you see within Modern Monetary Theory? (A) I like to say that MMT is a mix of “old” and “new” ideas. The old ideas are well known among Keynesian economists and are correct, but the new ideas are either misleading or wrong. The essential old idea, which everybody knows, …
Read More »Is the US hypocritical to Criticize Russian Election Meddling?
March 26, 2018Thomas Carothers has recently written an article in Foreign Affairs, the prestigious elite journal published by the US based Council on Foreign Relations. The article asks is the US hypocritical for criticizing Russian election medlling? Given the place of publication, the unsurprising conclusion is it is not. The problem is the US is a champion …
Read More »Re-theorizing the Welfare State and the Political Economy of Neoliberalism’s War Against It
February 26, 2018This paper argues neoliberalism is engaged in a war against the welfare state. At issue are competing views regarding the size of the welfare state and how it should be organized. In waging this war, neoliberalism seeks to politically discredit the traditional welfare state and change the economic structure so that the latter becomes unviable. …
Read More »The General Theory at 80: Reflections on the History and Enduring Relevance of Keynes’ Economics
October 27, 2017This paper reflects on the history and enduring relevance of Keynes’ economics. Keynes unleashed a devastating critique of classical macroeconomics and introduced a new replacement schema that defines macroeconomics. The success of the Keynesian revolution triggered a counter-revolution that restored the classical tradition and now enforces a renewed classical monopoly. That monopoly has provided the …
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