Merriam Webster defines a Potemkin Village as: an impressive facade or show designed to hide an undesirable fact or condition Mike Pence visited a Potemkin Village in Donna, Texas: Pence also visited a tent-like temporary detention facility in Donna, Texas, that holds unaccompanied children and immigrant families. The new and mostly clean facility stood in stark contrast to the McAllen station Pence later visited. While the Buzzfeed story focused on the McAllen station, which depicted...
Read More »Does Turkish Lira Decline Mean Turkey Leaves NATO?
Probably not, but Turkey is about to receive Russian S-400 missiles against US demands. More signifigantly the US will kill high level US F-35 agreements, and will not fly US planes over Turkey if it uses the Russian systems. This threatens Turkish membership in NATO.The immediate result of this in financial markets has been a substantial decline of the Turkish lira over the last several weeks. While pushing off the US has costs, there will be gains from favoring Russia, from Russian...
Read More »The Condition Of North Korean Conventional Weapons
This is based on essentially gossip, or if you prefer, a rumor. I have dining in Washington again and someone there who is in fact both well known and very well informed, but whom I shall not name made a comment about the state of conventional weapons in DPRK and also said that this has not been publicly known. According to this person their condition is much worse than publicly believed. So out of date and out of condition are they supposedly that North Korea no longer can seriously...
Read More »The Rise of Global Innovation by US Multinationals
Lee G. Branstetter, Britta Glennon, and J. Bradford Jensen of the Peterson Institute for International Economics provide an interesting discussion of the risks and opportunities from the following: Total US R&D spending as a share of GDP increased slightly from 2.5 percent in 1999 to 2.7 percent in 2016.2 Multinationals are an important driver of aggregate R&D spending in the United States.3 Their share of total US R&D spending was 57 percent in 2015.4 US MNCs play a...
Read More »The Expansion Of Assets With Negative Nominal Interest Rates
Buried in the Weekend section of the Financial Times is a report that the aggregate value of assets that earn negative nominal yields has substantially expanded since the beginning of 2019 and has reached a new high. So on January 1, 2019, the value of these assets was at $8.3 trillion. As of six months later it had reached $13 trillion, a more than 50 percent increase. There are fewer assets around that have negative yields than a few years ago, but the amount of money in them has grown,...
Read More »Elliott Maraniss
It’s with more than average interest that I just read a review of David Maraniss’ new book about his father Elliott, A Good American Family: The Red Scare and My Father. I knew Elliott during my years in Madison as a contributing writer to his newspaper, the Capital Times, and as an informal sounding board for his thoughts on the New Left. The period in question was the early 1970s.First, Elliott was the most visibly nervous person I had ever met. He talked quickly in a loud but...
Read More »I Think, Therefore I Know: San Francisco Edition
Strange as it may seem, the biggest stumbling block on much of the left may be a crude philosophical error, dogmatic subjectivism. This is a position that holds that subjective experience is the highest form of knowledge, whose claims can’t be challenged by “lesser” criteria like logical analysis or empirical observation. To the extreme subjectivist, if I feel something to be true there is no legitimate counterargument: I think (or feel), therefore I know.This is at the heart of the...
Read More »Iran Nuclear Deal: Better Late Than Never?
Today has seen a curious coincidence that I have seen nobody else comment on regarding the status of the JCPOA Iran nuclear deal. On the one hand Iran has apparently now officially violated the agreement in terms of the amount of low level enriched uranium it has, going over the allowed limit, although it remains very far from obtaining in nuclear weapons. On the other the EU, more specifically and especially France and Germany, have gotten their alternative payment mechanism, Instex,...
Read More »Housing: Elizabeth Warren v. John Cochrane
Noah Smith has a lot of praise for the economic policy proposals from Elizabeth Warren. I’ll mention only one: With costs for shelter eating a bigger piece of Americans' paychecks, and local government paralyzed by incumbent homeowners, the country needs a big solution. Warren's would combine incentives for raising zoning density with increased public construction”. This is interesting in light of John Cochrane’s rant attacking the Democrats on the housing issue. Read it for yourself....
Read More »Rice Prices Rising In North Korea
According to nkecon, on April 30 the price of rice in the DPRK was 4070 won per kg, but as of June 25 it had risen 26 percent to 5147 won per kg, the highest in many years. The price of corn has also sharply risen although not quite as high abovee recent levels as has the price of rice. However, the price of pork has fallen, reflecting standard corn-hog relations, and per capita incomes appear to have fallen. Crop failures have now been passing through to consumers in higher prices.And in...
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