Trumponomics: How Trump skillfully used anti-globalization as bait to cover up his extremely neoliberal switch. A key element of Trump’s political success has been his masquerade of being pro-worker, which includes posturing as being anti-globalization. However, his true economic interests are the exact opposite. That creates conflict between Trump’s political and economic interests. For political leaders [...]
Read More »Monetary Policy and the Punch Bowl: The Case for Quantitative Policy and Wage Growth Targeting
Federal Reserve Chairman William McChesney Martin famously declared that the Federal Reserve “is in the position of the chaperone who has ordered the punch bowl removed just when the party was really warming up.” This paper uses the punch bowl metaphor to analyze how the Federal Reserve can improve monetary policy so as to deliver [...]
Read More »Trumponomics:NeoconNeoliberalism Camouflaged with Anti-Globalization Circus
A key element of Trump’s political success has been his masquerade of being pro-worker, which includes posturing as anti-globalization. However, his true economic interest is the exact opposite. That creates conflict between Trump’s political and economic interests. Understanding the calculus of that conflict is critical for understanding and predicting Trump’s economic policy, especially his international [...]
Read More »Are Negative Interest Rates Dangerous?
A debate on negative interest rates. YES, Thomas Palley: “One can have too much of a good thing”. NO, Adam Posen: “Negative interest rates have proved useful”. READ IT HERE
Read More »The Federal Reserve Raising Interest Rates is Unwelcome and Unnecessary
Wednesday’s decision by the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates is unwelcome and unnecessary. As admitted in its statement, investment remains soft, growth is only moderate, and inflation expectations are little changed. Moreover, the economy confronts financial headwinds from the recent jump in long term interest rates and an even stronger dollar. The Federal Reserve seems [...]
Read More »To President Obama and Secretary Clinton: In the name of god, go
Dear Secretary Clinton and President Obama: On April 20, 1653, Oliver Cromwell spoke these words to the Long Parliament: “You have sat here too long for any good you have been doing… Depart, I say, and let us have done with you. In the name of god, go.” Secretary Clinton, you are rightly being blamed for the electoral [...]
Read More »A Theory of Economic Policy Lock-in and Lock-out via Hysterisis: Rethinking Economists’ Approach to Economic Policy
This paper explores lock-in and lock-out via economic policy. It argues policy decisions may near-irrevocably change the economy’s structure, thereby changing its performance. That causes changed economic outcomes concerning distribution of wealth, income and power, which in turn induces locked-in changes in political outcomes. That is a different way of thinking about policy compared to [...]
Read More »An Undergraduate’s Question about Economic Policy
I received an e-mail from an undergraduate economics student who was curious about economic policy in Washington, DC. His question says a lot about the current state of affairs. Here it is with my reply. From: Xxxxxxx Xxxxxxx [mailto:[email protected]] Sent: Saturday, October 1, 2016 10:56 AM To: mail Subject: Question from an undergraduate Dear Dr. Palley, I am [...]
Read More »The Federal Reserve Must Rethink How it Tightens Monetary Policy
After more than 7 years of economic recovery, the Federal Reserve is positioning itself to tighten monetary policy by raising interest rates. In light of the wobbly reaction in financial markets, an important question that must be asked is whether raising interest rates is the right tool. It could well be that the world’s leading central [...]
Read More »Betrayed Again: TPP’s Unconvincing Economic and National Security Arguments
Voters of all stripes have recognized the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) as another betrayal of working people, and they have resoundingly rejected it. Despite that, President Obama continues to push it, to the extent of possibly seeking passage in a “lame duck” session of Congress. President Obama’s pushing of the TPP is recklessly irresponsible politics that [...]
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