Pass it on.MMT101.ORG – Learn Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)An Explanation Of Why Taxes Don’t Fund Spending—And Why Elon Musk Is Wrong About The US Government DeficitJim Byrne – MMT101.ORG
Read More »Articles by Mike Norman
Reserve flows under debt ceiling
11 days agoTGA down at 450b area now … So let’s assume they keep screwing around and eventually bottom it out at 50b leaving the current threat at 400b reserves in TGA that could be forced upon the banking system … To cover that 400b, banks would need at least 1/10th of that in capital for SLR of 0.1 … (might be a bit less) but we’ll be conservative … 1/10th is 40b… so eg if banks were given 40b of additional free capital right now, then they could cover those additional 400b reserve assets without effecting any other asset levels/prices at the banks…IOR is providing additional free capital to the banks every month…H.4.1 this week has reserves now up at >3.4T and IOR is 4.40% so that is approx 12b per month of capital flowing to banks every month …
40b/12b per month = 3.333 months so in a bit
Read More »The Loan Lock Paradox — NeilW
15 days agoIt’s been over ten years since the Bank of England published Money creation in the modern economy, yet despite that, I run into people daily parroting untruths about how banking works. As part of the update to the UK Accounting Model, we will enhance the banking chapter to cover how lending institutions work and highlight some of the intriguing artefacts that a proper understanding reveals….New WaylandThe Loan Lock ParadoxNeilW
Read More »Grok: “cash injection pumping liquidity!”
18 days agoMusk’s “AI” can’t apply regulatory math (maybe THIS is where he gets it?):The graph shows the Treasury General Account (TGA) balance dropping sharply recently, hitting its lowest since COVID. This $170B cash injection over 3 days signals the U.S. Treasury exhausting debt ceiling measures, pumping liquidity into the economy. Risk assets like stocks may…— Grok (@grok) March 8, 2025 This is funny from it: “Risk assets like stocks may get a short-term boost…” LOL stocks are in a free fall! Grok: “down is the new up!”…How does a constant proportional (simply numerator divided by denominator) financial leverage system get a risk price increase when non-risk is being added? It’s 8th grade Algebra… grok can’t apply it…I think grok is based on language so it’s apparently susceptible to the same
Read More »Mike Norman Economics 2025-03-03 04:01:56
23 days agoIt’s finally March 2025, and I can hardly believe that a date I’ve had in the diary for such a long time has finally arrived. It means, at long last, I can call time on a 30-year contracting career and retire from full-time work….Congratulations on your retirement. Looking forward to your new focus on MMT research.New WaylandTime for a ChangeNeilW
Read More »Treasury “injects cash!”
24 days agoLOL … yo risk prices went DOWN you fcking idiots… it caused a sell off… forcibly adding non-risk to same system balance sheet causes risk prices to REDUCE… Here comes the flood: Treasury injects avalanche of cash into the economy ($170BN in 3 days, the most since covid) as debt ceilling extraordinary measures are exhausted; Should prop up risk pic.twitter.com/N3sDuQG70w— zerohedge (@zerohedge) March 2, 2025
Read More »Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) Primer — NeilW
February 24, 2025This primer outlines why the Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) is the most effective and equitable approach for the UK economy. It explains why interest rates should be permanently set to zero, how banking reform can create a more stable and fair financial system, and why clear, enforceable, and accountable loan regulation is essential for long-term prosperity.New WaylandZero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) PrimerNeilW
Read More »The Introduction of the Euro–A Catalyst for Eurozone Economic Decline? The Effects of the Euro: An Analysis from a Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Perspective — Jim Byrne
February 23, 2025“…whenever I am studying European data I think how stupid the European Monetary Union (EMU) is from a modern monetary theory (MMT) perspective.“ MMT Economist Bill MitchellMMT101.ORG – Learn Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)The Introduction of the Euro – A Catalyst for Eurozone Economic Decline?The Effects of the Euro: An Analysis from a Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Perspective.Jim Byrne – MMT101.ORG
Read More »You Know Nothing About Economics—But there is no shame in that — Thomas Swan
February 21, 2025Good short explanation of MMT by an educator. (10 min. read)Pass it on.EducationYou Know Nothing About Economics—But there is no shame in thatThomas Swan
Read More »The Rise of the Modern Monetary System: An Integration of the Credit and State Money Approaches— L. Randall Wray
February 16, 2025This working paper integrates the credit money approach (associated with Post Keynesian endogenous money theory) with the state money approach (associated with Modern Money Theory) by drawing on Wray’s 1990 book (Money and Credit in Capitalist Economies: The Endogenous Money Approach, Edward Elgar), his 1998 book (Understanding Modern Money: the Key to Full Employment and Price Stability, Edward Elgar), and his 2004 edited book (Credit and State Theories of Money: The Contributions of A. Mitchell Innes, Edward Elgar). New sources and interpretation of the history of money make it clear that there is no contradiction between state money and private credit money—each played a role in the creation of the modern monetary system. Indeed, today’s system was created by bringing state money into
Read More »Episode 11 (S2) of the Smith Family Manga is now available–intergenerational tensions arise within the Smith household — Bill Mitchell
February 16, 2025Today (February 13, 2025), MMTed releases Episode 11 in the Second Season of our Manga series – The Smith Family and their Adventures with Money. Have a bit of fun with it while learning Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and circulate it to those who you think will benefit….William Mitchell — Modern Monetary TheoryEpisode 11 (S2) of the Smith Family Manga is now available – intergenerational tensions arise within the Smith householdBill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia
Read More »DOGE rant
February 12, 2025Mike with epic rant against the DOGE propaganda .. instant classic![embedded content]
Read More »Trump’s Executive Order to Rename Debt and Deficits — Stephanie Kelton
February 8, 2025Rename "debt" and "deficit" to reflect reality.The LensTrump’s Executive Order to Rename Debt and DeficitsStephanie Kelton | Professor of Public Policy and Economics at Stony Brook University, formerly Democrats’ chief economist on the staff of the U.S. Senate Budget Committee, and an economic adviser to the 2016 presidential campaign of Senator Bernie Sanders
Read More »Bessent says he and Trump focusing on 10-year Treasury yields—not Fed policy
February 6, 2025This is 100% pure BS…. They surely want the Fed to lower the rates… don’t believe it…Bloomberg: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says he and Trump are focusing on 10-year Treasury yields—not Fed policyhttps://t.co/rIUuEBHUAK pic.twitter.com/quBnoYdwsg— Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) February 6, 2025
Read More »The US Needs a Sovereign Wealth Fund Like a Fish Needs a Bicycle — Stephanie Kelton
February 5, 2025It was 2020, and Trump was responding to a question about a $6.2
trillion fiscal package (emergency COVID spending plus day-to-day
operations). The reporter might have been confused about where the money
was coming from, but Trump wasn’t. “The beautiful thing about our
country is…we can handle that easily because of who we are—what we
are—it’s our money…it’s our currency,” he explained.…Understanding what it means to issue a sovereign currency is at the core of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). If you’re new to MMT, click this link
and watch Professor L. Randall Wray explain. The bottom line is that a
currency-issuing government, like the United States, never has to worry
about “finding the money.” As Wray explains, the money gets spent into existence when Congress authorizes a budget
Your 4-Step Guide to Understanding the 2008 Financial Crash & Subsequent Recession From a Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) Perspective — Jim Byrne
February 2, 2025Politicians on both sides of the Atlantic are once again talking about rolling back banking regulations to kick-start growth. This article is a timely reminder of why those regulations exist.MMT101.ORG – Learn Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)Your 4-Step Guide to Understanding the 2008 Financial Crash & Subsequent Recession — From a Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) PerspectiveJim Byrne | MMT Scotland
Read More »Canada response to tariffs
February 2, 2025Where was this play in the Art degree Keynesian free market fundamentalism playbook? I thought the Canada people were just supposed to add the tariff onto the price of the products? Instead they are removing the products from inventories… going to create a glut of these products in the US and US prices are going to fall to get rid of it … no “inflation!”… ?Canada’s biggest province said it will remove American products from its government-run liquor stores as part of its response to President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canadian imports https://t.co/a2sCx4ajuE— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) February 2, 2025
Read More »Fed on tariffs
February 2, 2025LOL … then according to Art degree monetarists they should reduce the rate to figure of speech “counter the headwinds!”.. which is what Trump wants them to do in the first place… We read the transcripts of the Fed’s 2019 meetings so you don’t have to, and here’s the main takeaway: The headwinds they felt from Trump’s tariffs were strong https://t.co/57LOVFGjbn— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) February 2, 2025
Read More »2025 Fiscal
February 1, 2025Looks like DOGE/Elon trying to reduce top line by $1T by September… US GDP $27T/yr…. So no multiple that’s a direct 3.7% … I guess they think they’re only reducing govt spending on unnecessary regulatory activities or something… climate nutter stuff etc… maybe the “Argentina model”… ?Reducing the federal deficit from $2T to $1T in FY2026 requires cutting an average of ~$4B/day in projected 2026 spending from now to Sept 30. That would still result in a ~$1T deficit, but economic growth should be able to match that number, which would mean no inflation in…— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) January 31, 2025 He seems to understand the Art degree figure of speech “money!” as rather a scientific abstraction:The real economy is not money, it is goods & services. Money is simply an abstract representation
Read More »The Case of the Missing Report–Part 2 — Bill Mitchell
January 30, 2025Today, we solve the ‘Case of the Missing Report’. Recall from – The Case of the Missing Report – Part 1 – that the Asian Development Bank published a report I had written (with Randy Wray and Jesus Felipe) – A Reinterpretation of Pakistan’s ‘economic crisis’ and options for policymakers (draft version) – in June 2009 as part of work I was undertaking for the Bank at the time on economic development in Central Asia. The report was published on June 1, 2009 as an official ADB Economics Working Paper No. 163 after our presentations were enthusiastically received at the Bank during seminars we gave. The Report was indexed by the major bibliographic and indexing services and evidence of that report still exists today. For example, the Asian Regional Integration Center provides a link to some
Read More »NVDA exports
January 30, 2025Art degree morons as usual can’t understand the Accounting abstractions… think NVDA has to be shipping the REAL units to where the Accounting ABSTRACTIONS are recorded…Like I guess they think we’re importing $300B net of Guinness, Jameson and potatoes from Ireland…It’s the same as the current Trump “tariffs!” womanish soap opera… A LOT of people are going to get that wrong for the same reasons…Looks like $NVDA GPUs have never been physically in Singapore ⚠️So, according to $NVDA 10-Q disclosures “For example, most of the shipments associated with Singapore revenue went to either the United States or Taiwan in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025.”Guess what..… https://t.co/n0Wr9IEz8M pic.twitter.com/plgg6ZdA7K— JustDario ?♂️ (@DarioCpx) June 29, 2024
Read More »The Case of the Missing Report – Part 1 — Bill Mitchell
January 28, 2025This blog post is a long time in gestation and I could have written in 2009 which is the relevant year of the events that I will document in this two-part series. My conversations with government officials during my working trip to the Philippines last week highlighted several things, including their sheer terror of IMF intervention and the ratings agency. I will write separately about that in a later post. But the IMF watches these types of nations like a hawk and is ready to pounce to enforce their authority at the slightest departure from the neoliberal macroeconomic policy line. As long as these types of nations concede to the IMF bullying they have very little hope of developing towards being advanced states. And IMF bullying is what this blog post is about. This is Part 1 of a
Read More »The Impact of 25% Tariffs on Canadian GDP—The Bank of Canada vs Deepseek — Stephanie Kelton
January 28, 2025Stephanie asks Deepseek.The LensThe Impact of 25% Tariffs on Canadian GDP—The Bank of Canada vs DeepseekStephanie Kelton | Professor of Public Policy and Economics at Stony Brook University, formerly Democrats’ chief economist on the staff of the U.S. Senate Budget Committee, and an economic adviser to the 2016 presidential campaign of Senator Bernie Sanders
Read More »What is the University of Michigan Survey of Consumer Sentiment Telling Us? — Stephanie Kelton
January 27, 2025Expectations.The LensWhat is the University of Michigan Survey of Consumer Sentiment Telling Us?Stephanie Kelton | Professor of Public Policy and Economics at Stony Brook University, formerly Democrats’ chief economist on the staff of the U.S. Senate Budget Committee, and an economic adviser to the 2016 presidential campaign of Senator Bernie Sanders
Read More »Climate nutters useful idiots for insurance scammers
January 26, 2025Can’t even make it up… moron intellectual degenerate Art degree climate nutters (who couldn’t tell you the atomic number of hydrogen) running interference for the insurance scammers…California’s insurance system is broken for a variety of reasons, but climate change is not one of them. There is no greater consumer scam underway than insurance industry trade groups blaming climate change for skyrocketing rates. The media is complicit, on the take. https://t.co/VN9RU7F7Oz— Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) January 25, 2025
Read More »Source of funds for tariffs
January 26, 2025This statement/tweet isn’t exclusively true:MAGA will do whatever, but tariffs are taxes we pay on imports. It’s time media outlets called them that. https://t.co/OZnlnS5YvU— Dean Baker (@DeanBaker13) January 26, 2025 the foreign entities can simply lower their import prices in USD terms and access these foreign USD account balances as source of USDs to pay any new tariffs:
Read More »A Framework for a Basic Bank — NeilW
January 26, 2025In analysis, it’s helpful to simplify and focus on the core elements of a system. Today, we will identify the essential processes and structures required to create a functional bank, accompanied by diagrams to illustrate these key processes.New Wayland BlogA Framework for a Basic BankNeilW
Read More »Field trip to the Philippines–Report — Bill Mitchell
January 23, 2025I have been working in Manila this week as part of a ‘knowledge sharing forum’ at the House of Representatives which was termed ‘Pathways to Progress Transforming the Philippine Economy’ that was run by the Congressional Policy and Budget Research Department, attached to the Congress (Government). I am also giving a presentation at De La Salle University on rogue monetary policy. It has been a very interesting week and I came in contact with several senior government officials and learned a lot about the way they think and do their daily jobs. I Hope the interactions (knowledge sharing) shifted their thinking a little and reorient to some extent the way they construct fiscal policy. This blog post reports (as far as I can given confidentiality) what went on at the Congress.William
Read More »What I’ve Been Up To — Stephanie Kelton
January 19, 2025I am back in New York after an extended trip to California. Before I left town, I joined Scarlet Fu on Bloomberg Markets. We talked about the GOP plan to pass “one big beautiful bill” as quickly as possible and how much of it they’re going to try to offset/“pay for” (versus adding to the deficit)….The LensWhat I’ve Been Up ToStephanie Kelton | Professor of Public Policy and Economics at Stony Brook University, formerly Democrats’ chief economist on the staff of the U.S. Senate Budget Committee, and an economic adviser to the 2016 presidential campaign of Senator Bernie Sand…See alsoThe following mentions MMT and StephanieNTD5 Key Points From Biden’s Final Interview as PresidentNathan Worcester
Read More »The Reserve Requirements Fad: A Solution in Search of a Problem NeilW
January 19, 2025The Latest Epicycle in Interest Rate MythologyEvery so often, a new fad emerges to prop up the fantasy that interest rate targeting is some economic panacea. The latest contender? Reserve requirements.The premise is simple: if we stop paying interest on massive excess reserve quantities held by banks, we won’t have to hand over vast sums to them. The stunning amount of intellectual effort required to come to this conclusion is why economists earn the big money. Predictably, it has been seized upon by those Right-Thinking Lefties who detest bank profits but remain wedded to the mystical notion of an all-controlling interest rate.Misunderstanding Banking—AgainSince economists construct their banking theories on layers of myths, they inevitably arrive at the wrong conclusions. Yanis
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