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Mike Norman

Mike Norman

Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

Articles by Mike Norman

Rates

13 hours ago

Why would you have your RRP rate above your min FFR target and then not understand why MMMFs won’t fully engage in Tsy markets?How stupid are these f-ing people?When Fed did RRP in the first place they created a competing risk free asset class to Tsy securities which was bad enough… but then set the rate higher than your min target?#Fed officials are mulling a 5 bps cut to the reverse-repo rate to align it with the lower end of the federal funds target range. Nov meeting minutes highlight this as a "technical adjustment" to control the benchmark rate. RRP usage: $148.8B on Tue.#Fed #FOMC #Powell #inflation pic.twitter.com/QVDV6FlIMD— Rymond_Inc (@rymondIncKenya) November 27, 2024 So what’s going to happen is these Art degree monetarist morons are going to cause an auction failure and then

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How to Cut $2 Trillion in Federal Spending Without Breaking a Sweat Stephanie Kelton

6 days ago

As James Galbraith put it years ago, "It’s the interest rate, stupid."Nostalgia: Carlos "beowulf" Mucha liberally quoted. And no, not "the coin."The Lens with Stephanie KeltonHow to Cut $2 Trillion in Federal Spending Without Breaking a SweatStephanie Kelton | Professor of Public Policy and Economics at Stony Brook University, formerly Democrats’ chief economist on the staff of the U.S. Senate Budget Committee, and an economic adviser to the 2016 presidential campaign of Senator Bernie Sanders

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Tariffs As A Fiscal Tool? — Brian Romanchuk

9 days ago

Has Trump thought his tariff proposal through? Brian gives reasons to doubt that this move would be successful in replacing the income tax or substantially affecting it.BTW, Brian has migrated from X to Bluesky along with many others in the fields of economics and finance. Links provided at the end of the post.Bond EconomicsTariffs As A Fiscal Tool?Brian Romanchuk

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Class

13 days ago

Whoa!… hold up!…  was Marx correct? 🤔Americans are increasingly voting along class lines, not racial ones. That could upend how we’ve thought about politics for decades. https://t.co/rWBJFK32BD— The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) November 15, 2024

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Episode 8 (S2) of the Smith Family Manga is now available — Bill Mitchell

13 days ago

Today (November 15, 2024), MMTed releases Episode 8 in the Second Season of our Manga series – The Smith Family and their Adventures with Money. Have a bit of fun with it while learning Modern Monetary Theory….William Mitchell — Modern Monetary TheoryEpisode 8 (S2) of the Smith Family Manga is now availableBill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

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Oh no…Eva Langoria leaving the U.S.!!!

13 days ago

Oh no, what will we do? "Privileged" (her words) Eva Langoria is leaving the U.S.!! What a loss.  Here’s Eva, lamenting for all the rest of us who will be left behind.“Most Americans” are “going to be stuck in this dystopian country, and my anxiety and sadness is for them."Thank you, Eva, for your fake concern. We’ll try to get by in this terrible country as best as possible. But before you go, can you please take all of your Hollywood asshole friends, too? America can’t stand you and your privileged elitist sanctimonious jerks from Tinseltown. Get lost. Go!! Hopefully, this is not an empty threat by Eva, as we hear regularly from people like Alec Baldwin, Susan Sarandon, and Robert De Niro. They should take the lying, terrorist-loving, woke, anti-American mainstream media with them.

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Wishful Thinking

16 days ago

More wishful thinking from Democrat left:Given voters’ ire at the high cost of living, it might be wrong to assume Donald Trump will simply pick up where he left off and pressure the Fed to take interest rates right on down https://t.co/Mf70bunUQr— Bloomberg Economics (@economics) November 12, 2024

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Trump v Iran

19 days ago

Reports Iran conspired to assassinate Trump…The DOJ charged 3 individuals in an assassination plot against Trump. Two are in custody and one is allegedly living in Tehran — the capital city of Iran.Some really interesting things are happening right now. pic.twitter.com/8rsDBdyjGk— johnny maga (@_johnnymaga) November 8, 2024 6 of these m-fers just deployed to Qatar plus boomers to the region…Maybe Trump will demand the surrender of the Iranian regime…or finally incinerate that whole goat f-ing rats nest…Volatility premiums increasing 2 months out…

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Trump v Fed ?

20 days ago

This guy a MAGA Trump insider perhaps in line for AG (probably too much to hope he gets it 🙏🏻) but it’s revealing that he mentions the bankruptcy first…Trump’s opponents attempted to bankrupt him for non-fraud.And imprison him for life for non-crimes.And take him off the ballot.And take off his head. Now they want “unity”?Fuck them.Let’s unify them in prison.— 🇺🇸 Mike Davis 🇺🇸 (@mrddmia) November 8, 2024 Biden 2022 rate increases were unprecedented… so you can see what they did they put the rates way up to squeeze him, then they get commie kangaroos in NYC to impose half a billion dollars civil judgement in attempt to to bankrupt him…  flushing the US CRE market down the toilet bowl in the process causing mini banking crisis in March 2023 … hoping Trump somehow got caught up in the

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Functional finance — Lars P. Syll

20 days ago

What monetarists. deficit hawks, and debt phobes don’t get. Quotes by Abba Lerner and John Maynard Keynes.Lars P. Syll’s BlogFunctional financeLars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

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Escobar: The Roadblocks Ahead For The Sovereign Harmonious Multi-Nodal World — Pepe Escobar

22 days ago

We will need weeks, months, years to fully grasp the enormity of what took place in Kazan during the annual BRICS summit under the Russian presidency.For the moment let’s cherish arguably the most appropriate definition of BRICS as a laboratory of the future: this lab, against nearly insurmountable odds, is actively engaged in creating a Sovereign Harmonious Multi-Nodal World.My take is that there were two tracks leading up to the meeting of BRICS+ in Kazan. The first track was widely reported in the Alt-Media and was wildly optimistic about the outcome since it focused almost exclusively on the "key players" none of whom had any political clout. It was even speculated that a new monetary system based on a BRICS+ currency would be announced. This turned out to be pie-in-the-sky.The second

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Government job creation programs deliver significant (net) long-term benefits — Bill Mitchell

23 days ago

On April 5, 1933, US President Roosevelt made an executive decision to create the – Civilian Conservation Corps (CCC) – which was a component of the suite of government programs referred to as the – New Deal – that defined the Federal government’s solution to the mass unemployment that arose during the early years of the – Great Depression. These programs have been heavily criticised by the free market set as being unnecessary, wasteful and ineffective. Critics assert that no long-term benefits are forthcoming from such programs. However, those assertions are never backed by valid empirical evidence. A recent study by US academics has provided the first solid piece of evidence that the CCC delivered massive long-term benefits to the individuals who participated in it. And these benefits

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MMT — debunking the deficit — Lars P. Syll

23 days ago

Lars comments on a quote from Stephanie Kelton’s The Deficit Myth showing the loanable funds theory being inconsistent with stock-flow accounting.Lars P. Syll’s BlogMMT — debunking the deficit Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

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24 per cent annual interest on time deposits: St Petersburg Travel Notes, installment three — Gilbert Doctorow

24 days ago

Not much happening regarding MMT these days.Herer is an anecdotal report on Russian banking. And, yes, you read that right. You get 24% not the bank.Doctorow is an American residing in Brussels who spends a good deal of time in Russia. His wife is Russian and he is fluent in Russian. A "Russianist," he has a a PhD in history (Harvard) and is a retired business person. His reporting does not conform to the narrative.Gilbert Doctorow—International relations, Russian affairs 24 per cent annual interest on time deposits: St Petersburg Travel Notes, installment threeGilbert Doctorow

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Did The Latest BRICS Summit Achieve Anything Of Tangible Significance At All? — Andrew Korybko

25 days ago

The conclusion is that it’s a lot easier to talk about creating truly alternative institutions than actually doing so, which means that BRICS will likely just remain a talking club, or a “multitasking laboratory of global governance” as Kortunov diplomatically described it. That’s not to downplay the group’s role since it’s important for major and developing non-Western countries to discuss pressing issues of the evolving world order, especially economic-financial ones, but that’s not the same as what enthusiasts expected.A dose of reality. The Alt-Media got a quite a bit ahead of reality with respect to their expectations of the initial outcome.The Kazan Summit therefore wasn’t a failure, and in fact, it succeeded in its only realistic goal all along of gathering its members and partners

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Rate policy

October 24, 2024

Democrat rate policy still has US overnight risk free IOR rate at 4.9% so what is so bad about a 10yr risk free UST rate of 4.2%?  It’s still significantly inverted over time …  usual Art degree moron suspects going apoplectic meanwhile a significantly inverted yield curve… hard to understand how these peoples brains work… 🤔

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Pepe Escobar —Date With Destiny–BRICS Offers Hope in a Time of War

October 21, 2024

Pepe Escobar summarizes the state of play at the outset of the BRICS conference as it begans in Kazan, the capital of Tatarstan, Russian Federation. The heads of the central banks have already met in Moscow in preparation for discussing initial steps in an overhaul of the post WWII Bretton Woods monetary system and associated institutions established by and controlled by the West, the US in particular. Expectations had begun to exceed reality and now they are more modest but still positive.Sputnik InternationalPepe Escobar: Date With Destiny – BRICS Offers Hope in a Time of War

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BRICS plans ‘multi-currency system’ to challenge US dollar dominance: Understanding Russia’s proposal — Ben Norton

October 20, 2024

The BRICS Cross-Border Payment Initiative (BCBPI) will use national currencies, instead of the US dollar. Russia’s finance ministry and central bank released a report detailing plans to transform the international monetary and financial system.Geopolitical EconomyBRICS plans ‘multi-currency system’ to challenge US dollar dominance: Understanding Russia’s proposalBen Norton

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BRICS—facts and figures — Peter Hanseler/Denis Dobrin

October 20, 2024

IntroductionIn the first part of this year’s BRICS series, we described the geopolitical environment in which BRICS is currently operating and trying to evolve. This environment has changed for the worse since the last BRICS summit in South Africa last August.The consequence is that BRICS cannot develop freely, because on the one hand, the decisions – especially those of the USA – regarding the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, the situation in the financial markets and finally the elections in the USA will have serious consequences for the whole world. On the other hand, the decisions of the BRICS regarding the admission of new members and the introduction of a currency (unlikely) or a payment and settlement system (likely) will also have a major impact on the overall geopolitical

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Improvement Of The International Monetary And Financial System — The Ministry Of Finance Of The Russian Federation, Bank of Russia, Yakov and Partners

October 18, 2024

This is what will be presented at the upcoming BRICS + meeting. Download report at link below.Description on X here. (It’s nothing like the cheerleaders have been projecting.)BRICS Chairmanship ResearchImprovement Of The International Monetary And Financial SystemThe Ministry Of Finance Of The Russian Federation, Bank of Russia, Yakov and Partners

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The Boy Who Cried Wolf About Government Debt —Yeva Nersisyan, L. Randall Wray

October 18, 2024

In a New York Times editorial, David Leonhardt recounts Aesop’s apocryphal story about the boy and the wolf, warning that while deficit hawks have so far been wrong, the growing government debt will eventually bite. He reports the economic plans of both presidential candidates would add to the debt that will soon exceed GDP and grow to 130 percent of annual output under a President Harris, or 140 percent with a Trump presidency.The story of the boy and the wolf was a fable, although it was within the realm of possibility. The fable of the debt wolf is not. While there are real world wolves—Leonhardt mentions climate catastrophe and autocratic leaders, and the authors would add rising inequality and the concentration of economic and political power in the hands of billionaires.Levy

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Episode 7 (S2) of the Smith Family Manga is now available–A revealing Zoom session — Bill Mitchell

October 18, 2024

Today (October 18, 2024), MMTed releases Episode 7 in the Second Season of our Manga series – The Smith Family and their Adventures with Money. Have a bit of fun with it while learning Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and circulate it to those who you think will benefit.…William Mitchell — Modern Monetary TheoryEpisode 7 (S2) of the Smith Family Manga is now available – A revealing Zoom sessionBill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

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How Australian Monetary System Favours the Powerful — Denis Hay

October 18, 2024

MMT to the rescue (from neoliberalism). This applies similarly to other countries running under neoliberalism, which can be broadly characterized as policy formulation based on state capture by elites in a plutocracy masquerading as a democracy. Social Justice AustraliaHow Australian Monetary System Favours the PowerfulDenis Hay

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LA Woman

October 12, 2024

Great breakdown of a great song (by The Doors) by these 2 Millennial black bros… never understood the song as a metaphor for the city of Los Angeles but yeah I get it now… makes it even better…[embedded content]

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Episode 6 of the Smith Family Manga (Season 2) is now available— Bill Mitchell

October 3, 2024

Today (October 3, 2024), MMTed releases Episode 6 in the Second Season of our Manga series – The Smith Family and their Adventures with Money. Have a bit of fun with it while learning Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) and circulate it to those who you think will benefit. Episode 6 was delayed by two weeks…William Mitchell — Modern Monetary TheoryEpisode 6 of the Smith Family Manga (Season 2) is now availableBill Mitchell | Professor in Economics and Director of the Centre of Full Employment and Equity (CofFEE), at University of Newcastle, NSW, Australia

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Modern Monetary Theory film proves finding the cash isn’t the problem — William Thomson

October 1, 2024

As we have been writing for over a year in this newsletter, the UK Government, as the issuer of the UK pound, can never run out of money. They can afford whatever is priced in pounds. There is never a problem finding the money. This leads to a natural and painful conclusion: Continuing austerity policies is a political choice….The National (Scotland)Modern Monetary Theory film proves finding the cash isn’t the problemWilliam Thomson, Scotonomics founder

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The ball is now in Finance Ministry’s court, Chinese economists say — Zichen Wang

September 30, 2024

Apparently many influential Chinese economists are old-style Keynesians. There is no indication that they understand the basic principle of MMT —  a sovereign currency issuer that doesn’t create financial obligation in currency it does not issue has a monopoly on its currency. This is especially important considering that China faces deflation rather than inflation.It’s up to the Finance Ministry now. Wikipedia:The Ministry of Finance of the People’s Republic of China (Chinese: 中华人民共和国财政部; pinyin: Zhōnghuá Rénmín Gònghéguó Cáizhèngbù) is the constituent department of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China which administers macroeconomic policies and the annual budget. It also handles fiscal policy, economic regulations and government expenditure for the state.The ministry

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Class origins matter – but who are the agents of change? — Bill Mitchell

September 30, 2024

Not MMT or economics as such but it is interesting in that Bill is an MMT founder so his stance on economic sociology is relevant. There was an interesting article in the UK Guardian the other day September 26, 2024) – Take it from me (and Keir Starmer) – you should never pretend to be more working class than you are. I don’t usually agree with the journalist but this article made me reflect on a lot of things.… Aside:The scrutiny arises because many of these “Labour people” appear to have accumulated wealth (real estate etc), have come from well-paid jobs and network with the elites in society.For that they are referred to, in a pejorative way, as ‘champagne socialists’.In the US, they (affected Democrats) are called "limousine liberals" and "latté liberals." A lot of the formerly

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