Here: Philip Pilkington, “Why the Pollsters totally failed to call a Trump Victory, Why I (sort of) succeeded – and Why you should listen to neither of us,” Fixing the Economists, 14 November, 2016.A good discussion.Probabilities can be categorised into the following types:(1) a priori probabilities (which are analytic a priori and necessarily true), and(2) a posteriori probabilities (which are contingent and empirical), further divided into:(a) relative frequency probabilities; (b)...
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