Heterodox
Grading my 2021 forecasts Critical self-examination is, or at least ought to be, part of the process of making forecasts. After all, how can you learn if you don’t see how earlier hypotheses panned out? As I have usually done, let’s take a look back at how I forecast 2021 was going to look, to see how well I did. To make a long story short, according to the long and short leading indicators I track, there was never any real doubt that the...
Read More »Grading my 2021 forecasts
