Tag Archives: geostrategy

If I had to recommend a single article for foreign policy decision makers to read, it would be Robert Jervis’s 1968 essay ‘Hypotheses on Misperception.’ As I’ve written before, many of the tensions between states derive from misperceptions. People misperceive others; misperceive themselves; and misperceive how they are seen by others. In his article, Jervis hypothesizes 14 misperceptions which are commonly encountered in international politics. Hypothesis number 9 is the following: ‘actors...

Must-read. The method behind Trump's "madness."Seeking AlphaEnergy Dominance And America FirstChris Cook See also Strategic Culture FoundationThe Geostrategy That Guides Trump"s Foreign PoliciesEric Zuesse

In a major development, European Commission chief Jean-Claude Juncker said it was time for the European Union (EU) to reconnect with Russia and stop “attacking” it, in striking contrast to the US which have placed increasing accusations and sanctions against Moscow. These statements are in concert with a swiftly developing trend that the Center for Syncretic Studies, Belgrade, has been forecasting since 2014, where the EU will carve an independent course from the Atlanticism of the US....

If these US policies are not sustainable, what then? The primal flaw to the neo-con maximum leverage doctrine is its lack of any easy ladder down which to climb that does not appear to be a national US humiliation. Usually, if pressure doesn’t work, it is assumed that it was because there was not enough of it – for example, Trump attributes the weaknesses to the JCPOA to Obama failing to let the Iranians stew in sanctions for long enough. Obama cut the pressures too early in Trump’s view –...

Good backgrounder. Short and to the point. Emphasizes how geopolitics and geostrategy are historically influenced and path-dependent.Asia TimesThe geopolitics beyond the Skripal case Nicos Panayiotides See also Surprisingly good for Newsweek and the US media in general. No scaremongering. Short. NewsweekChina Military Tells Russia 'We've Come to Support You' Against U.S. Tom O'Connor

It is a centuries-old practice of the maritime powers [thalassocracy] to "isolate" their enemies with a curtain made of economic sanctions, military encirclement, political and ideological condemnation: in the past, "isolation" or "strangulation" was usually the source of war. The latest developments in Europe are therefore to be looked at with concern: in the United Kingdom, the clumsy poisoning of former Russian spy Sergei Skripal was exploited to further exacerbate diplomatic relations...

Sunday reading. LobeLogUnipolar Strategy in a Multipolar World Paul Pillar Une parole francheMissile-gate Gilbert Doctorow | European Coordinator of The American Committee for East West Accord Ltd.Russian and Eurasian PoliticsPutin’s ‘Missile Speech’: Butter, Guns, and Security Discourse Gordon M. Hahn, Expert Analyst at Corr Analytics, http://www.canalyt.com and a Senior Researcher at the Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies (CETIS), Akribis Group, www.cetisresearch.org....

The United States has pursued a decades-long policy of encircling, containing and if possible, undermining China as part of a larger strategy of achieving and maintaining what US policy papers call “primacy” over Asia. US policy has led to deeply-rooted networks operating within China’s borders and along China’s geopolitical peripheries to divide and destabilize the immense and increasingly powerful Asian state. These networks are funded and supported regardless of who occupies the White...

This is a longish and heavily intellectual analysis in the dialectical mode. However, it is a significant strand in thinking about geopolitics and geostrategy from a long term historical perspective and from a particular point of view.Worth a look if you are into this sort of thing and think Dugin has something to say.It's not necessary to agree with people to make them worth reading. A lot of people that one may not agree with exert an influence.Dugin's influence over Putin is greatly...

Dragon-breath.  Calling Siegfried.Real Clear DefenseComing to Grips With a Rising China Ramon Marks