Less than 24 hours later, the sellers came back with a vengeance. 
Read More »What the heck? Market moon shot!
Before that was bond panic.
Read More »My bond trade blew up?
The facts ma’am, just the facts. 
Read More »The Accursed Tariffs — NeilW
Many electrons have been inconvenienced over this topic, and most have been in vain. I’ve wondered all week whether I had anything meaningful to add. However, a few points that have emerged in discussions are worth highlighting....New WaylandThe Accursed Tariffs NeilW
Read More »IRS has agreed to share migrants’ tax information with ICE
So imminently employers of millions of illegals are gonna be submitting their FICA tax reports containing those now DOGE deleted 9M SSNs and IRS is gonna immediately flip that information over to ICE for immigration raids probably to the largest offenders first…Could be a mass firing event which probably won’t show up in UE claims because the current employees are illegal… maybe job openings will spike up … while UE rate appears constant…So Art degree Fed morons will interpret that as...
Read More »Trump’s “Liberation Day”: Another PR Gag, or Global Reorientation Turning Point? — Simplicius
I am a bit late with this. I have been jammed this week and just got to. It's an explanation of the Trump tariffs. It's the brain child of Stephen Miran, chair of the Council of Economic Advisors. Miran lays it out in A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System. Simplicius summarizes it briefly.Bill Mitchell deals with this from the MMT point of view in today's post, which I linked to earlier.Simplicius the ThinkerTrump's "Liberation Day": Another PR Gag, or Global...
Read More »Here’s why inflation may not increase.
The system we are on, floating exchange rates, tend to mitigate tariff-driven price increases 
Read More »US government is pinning its tariff hopes on some unlikely to be realised assumptions— Bill Mitchell
Last week, the US President honoured his election promise, indeed his long-held commitment, to increase tariffs on imported goods and services to the US. The formula they came up to differentiate between countries was bizarre but I don’t intend commenting on that here, except to say, the imposition of tariffs on the – Heard Island and McDonald Islands – which are an ‘Australian external territory’ that is a ‘a volcanic group of mostly barren Antarctic islands, about two-thirds of the way...
Read More »My bond trade is going very well.
In case you were wondering. 
Read More »What if Trump ends up being right?
That would be a lovely, F-U to the entire economics profession! 
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