Review and critique of the latest OECD World Economic Outlook, from a Marxian POV. Useful. The key for me, as readers of this blog know, is what is happening to the profitability of capital in the major economies. If profitability is rising, then corporate investment and economic growth will follow – but also vice versa. But if profitability and profits are falling, debt accumulated will become a major burden. Eventually the zombies will start to go bankrupt, spreading across sectors and...
Read More »David Nicklaus — China’s worry about ‘Minsky moment’ may be a good sign
Randy Wray gets a mention.St. Louts Post-DispatchNicklaus: China's worry about 'Minsky moment' may be a good sign David Nicklaus, business columnist for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.
Read More »Reuters — China’s central bank Anticipates a “Minsky moment.”
Hyman Minsky goes to China. China will fend off risks from excessive optimism that could lead to a "Minsky Moment", central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan said on Thursday, adding that corporate debt levels are relatively high and household debt is rising too quickly. A Minsky Moment is a sudden collapse of asset prices after a long period of growth, sparked by debt or currency pressures. The theory is named after economist Hyman Minsky...."If there are too many pro-cyclical factors in the...
Read More »Deflation is Here — And The Government is Poised to Make it Worse
Consumer prices may not be deflating as quickly as Labour’s electoral chances did earlier this month, but — even after £300 billion of quantitative easing — price deflation for the first time in more than half a century is finally here. The Bank of England continues to throw everything at keeping prices rising at close to their 2 percent target. Yet it’s not working. And this is not just about cheaper oil. Core inflation has also been dropping like a rock. I argued that “deflation was...
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