November 22nd, 2024 There are many reasons for regretting the resurrection of Donald Trump, but one overwhelming reason for welcoming it is that he is a peacemaker, not a war maker, and will actively leverage America’s power to pacify an increasingly dangerous world. Western leaders do not actively seek war with Russia, China, or Iran. But they do not actively seek peace. Ukraine is a case in point. Our leaders have repeatedly stated that it is up to Ukraine to define the terms...
Read More »Speech in the House of Lords – Ukraine
Below is my speech on Ukraine in the House of Lords on the 25th of October. Unfortunately, time constraints forced me to leave out two bits of my argument which I will put in brackets in the text. “My Lords, I am usually put last on the speakers’ list in any debate on this topic, but I treat that as a badge of honour. I welcome the opportunity we have been given to take note. I have been taking note of the Government’s position on Ukraine for over two years now. It is unchanging: the...
Read More »Nato’s folly
There is only one acceptable end to the war in Ukraine. And it doesn’t involve giving Kyiv the weapons it would need to entirely drive Russia out Aug 14, 2024 “The nation must clearly speak with one voice,” declared Baroness Neville-Rolfe, then Conservative minister of state at the cabinet office, on 20th February 2024. No remark so neatly captures the mindset of Britain’s foreign policy and defence establishment on Ukraine. The official view, from which Labour has never...
Read More »Intervista sul Sussidiario su guerra e bilancio
SANZIONI E CRISI ENERGIA/ “Siamo in guerra, serve uno scostamento di bilancio europeo” Pubblicazione: 16.09.2022 - int. Sergio Cesaratto Se Ue e Bce non cambiano rotta, l’Italia non ha chance di superare indenne una crisi generata anche dalle scelte degli Stati Uniti C’è attesa per le decisioni che la Fed prenderà il 21 settembre. L’aumento...
Read More »How to cut short the long slog in Ukraine
James Stavridis, the former NATO supreme allied commander for Europe, recently predicted that the Russia-Ukraine conflict would end this year. Some experts, such as Stavridis, expect a stalemate and frozen conflict. Others hope for negotiations to begin. After all, this is what usually happens. War is brutally expensive and exhausting, so most conflicts are brief. Over the last century, the average war was just 100 days long. Unfortunately, some wars last because sustaining the...
Read More »America’s path to war with Russia
That’s the title of my feature with RealClearDefense, published this weekend. Full text follows here. The Biden administration has worked hard to keep Russia from treating America as a co-combatant in Ukraine. But that doesn’t mean NATO isn’t deeply embroiled in the fight. The level of support is extraordinary and increasing, including sanctions, intelligence sharing, weapons transfers, and money. Add to that the ever-heightening political rhetoric: “The United States is in this to win...
Read More »America’s Path to War With Russia
[unable to retrieve full-text content]Feature in RealClearDefense The post America’s Path to War With Russia appeared first on Chris Blattman.
Read More »The Case for Nordic and NATO Realism
To be a realist in international relations is to accept that some states are more sovereign than others. “Strict realism” now requires that Sweden and Finland pause before rushing into NATO’s arms, and that the Alliance take a step back before accepting them. LONDON – Finland and Sweden have announced that they will apply for NATO membership. But joining the Alliance is more likely to weaken than enhance their security and that of Europe. Strategic neutrality has preserved Sweden’s...
Read More »Realismo politico e conseguenze economiche della guerra
Pubblicato su invvito da Fuori collana, rivista di giuristi, in un numero sulla guerra (11 maggio 2022)Le conseguenze sociali dell’economia di guerra in Europa Il realismo politico offre utili chiavi di lettura all’economia politica internazionale, mai come oggi messa a repentaglio dall’escalation in Ucraina. L’UE e l’Italia...
Read More »Ukraine: what will be done and what should be done?
By Thomas PalleyWhile rightly condemning Russia for its invasion, the mainstream media continues to selectively report the history behind these events. In my view, its omissions are intentional and contribute to the tragedy. They inflame public understanding, render a diplomatic resolution more difficult, and lock us into a worse trajectory. Let me make further clear my argument: (1) President Putin is head of the Russian state which is under slow-motion implacable attack by US-led NATO....
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