– by New Deal democrat In the paradigm popularized by Prof. Edward Leamer 20 years ago, motor vehicle sales are the 2nd domino to fall, after housing, in the procession of sectors that turn down prior to recessions. I haven’t updated this in a while, so let’s take a look. As an initial matter, the cycle in this sector was particularly hard hit by supply chain kinks during the pandemic, as electronic parts in particular were not produced at...
Read More »