On January 10, 2020, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their latest labour market data – Employment Situation Summary – January 2019 – which reveals a labour market that that is still adding jobs, albeit at a slower rate than it was last year. The December performance showed that this moderation has not yet impacted on the unemployment rate – meaning that the employment growth is keeping pace with the underlying population growth with participation steady as indicated by the...
Read More »“Across-the-Board Tariffs on China with Retaliation and Federal Spending Create Over 1 Million Jobs in Five Years” — Menzie Chinn
I’ve read the “working paper” (and the preceding paper) a couple of times, and am not clear what happens — the results are based on splicing two models (REMI and BCG data) and running out the results. Alarm bells went off in my head when I read this: You decide.Econbrowser“Across-the-Board Tariffs on China with Retaliation and Federal Spending Create Over 1 Million Jobs in Five Years”Menzie Chinn | Professor of Public Affairs and Economics, Robert M. La Follette School of Public Affairs,...
Read More »Bill Mitchell — US Labour Market still adding jobs but scope for further expansion
Last week’s (July 5, 2019) release by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of their latest labour market data – Employment Situation Summary – June 2019 – reveals a steady labour market with month-to-month volatility. The US labour market is still adding jobs, albeit at a slower pace than last year. The unemployment rate remains low (at 3.67 per cent) and the participation rate has moved up a tick, which is a good sign. It is also clear that there is still a substantial jobs deficit...
Read More »Tyler Cowen — New results on the China shock, furthermore the China shock is largely over
Is the US trying to lock the barn door after the horse is gone left over offshoring jobs to China? A new paper suggests so.Marginal RevolutionNew results on the China shock, furthermore the China shock is largely overTyler Cowen | Holbert C. Harris Chair of Economics at George Mason University and serves as chairman and general director of the Mercatus Center
Read More »Bill Mitchell — US labour market tepid – there is plenty of scope fiscal expansion
On May 4, 2018, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released their latest labour market data – Employment Situation Summary – April 2018 – which showed that total non-farm employment from the payroll survey rose by just 164,000 in April, which was an improvement on the very modest rise in March. The Labour Force Survey data, however, showed that employment only rose by 3 thousand) in April 2018 but was accompanied by a substantial fall in the labour force (236 thousand) which meant that...
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