Sunday , November 24 2024
Home / Mike Norman Economics / Don Quijones — Italy’s Debt Crisis Thickens

Don Quijones — Italy’s Debt Crisis Thickens

Summary:
The new big fear is that this month, either or both, Moody’s and S&P, will downgrade Italian debt two notches into junk territory. The potential implications of such a move, not only for Italy but for the European project as a whole, are so huge that many market players are discounting it as a possibility altogether. “A downgrade to junk could trigger a full-blown (euro zone) crisis,” said Nicola Mai, a portfolio manager at PIMCO, the world’s largest bond investor. “…Which is why I don’t believe the agencies will do it, I don’t think they will want to be the ones causing a crisis in Europe.” Iain Stealey, a fixed income portfolio manager at JP Morgan Asset Management, concurs. “It would be a very, very big decision, just given the size of the Italian bond market; it makes up something

Topics:
Mike Norman considers the following as important: , ,

This could be interesting, too:

Mike Norman writes Dirk Ehnts – The Eurozone is Fully Committed to Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)

Mike Norman writes Bill Mitchell — Bundesbank remits record profits to German government while Greek health system fails

Mike Norman writes Bill Mitchell — The EU outdoes itself in the madness stakes

Mike Norman writes Eurozone 2020. Don’t mention the War! Bill Mitchell

The new big fear is that this month, either or both, Moody’s and S&P, will downgrade Italian debt two notches into junk territory. The potential implications of such a move, not only for Italy but for the European project as a whole, are so huge that many market players are discounting it as a possibility altogether.
“A downgrade to junk could trigger a full-blown (euro zone) crisis,” said Nicola Mai, a portfolio manager at PIMCO, the world’s largest bond investor. “…Which is why I don’t believe the agencies will do it, I don’t think they will want to be the ones causing a crisis in Europe.”
Iain Stealey, a fixed income portfolio manager at JP Morgan Asset Management, concurs. “It would be a very, very big decision, just given the size of the Italian bond market; it makes up something like a fifth of government bonds in the euro zone,” he said. In other words, contagion would spread across the Euro Zone like wildfire....
Raging Bull-Shit
Italy’s Debt Crisis Thickens
Don Quijones
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *