Sunday , November 24 2024
Home / Lars P. Syll / Modeling economic risk

Modeling economic risk

Summary:
Model builders face a constant temptation to make things more complicated than necessary because this makes them appear more capable than they really are. Remember that a model is not the truth. It is a lie to help you get your point across. And in the case of modeling economic risk, your model is a lie about others, who are probably lying themselves. And what’s worse than a simple lie? A complicated lie. Advertisements

Topics:
Lars Pålsson Syll considers the following as important:

This could be interesting, too:

Lars Pålsson Syll writes Klas Eklunds ‘Vår ekonomi’ — lärobok med stora brister

Lars Pålsson Syll writes Ekonomisk politik och finanspolitiska ramverk

Lars Pålsson Syll writes NAIRU — a harmful fairy tale

Lars Pålsson Syll writes Isabella Weber on sellers inflation

Modeling economic risk Model builders face a constant temptation to make things more complicated than necessary because this makes them appear more capable than they really are.

Remember that a model is not the truth.

It is a lie to help you get your point across.

And in the case of modeling economic risk, your model is a lie about others, who are probably lying themselves.

And what’s worse than a simple lie?

A complicated lie.

Advertisements
Lars Pålsson Syll
Professor at Malmö University. Primary research interest - the philosophy, history and methodology of economics.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *