Coronavirus dashboard for March 24 Here is the update through yesterday (March 23) In order to succeed in containing the pandemic, I believe that the US needs 2 weeks of China (nearly complete lockdown) followed by at least a month of South Korea (very aggressive and widespread testing). At minimum, that means at least 50% of the US population under lockdown and a ratio of 15:1 in tests to results showing infection. The recent exponential growth of about 35% per day must be stopped. Those three most important metrics are starred (***) below. Number and rate of increase of Reported Infections (from Johns Hopkins via arcgis.com) Number: up +11,226 to 46,450 (vs. +8,477 on March 23) ***Rate of increase: day/day: 32% (vs. 34.6% baseline and vs. 32% on March
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Coronavirus dashboard for March 24
In order to succeed in containing the pandemic, I believe that the US needs 2 weeks of China (nearly complete lockdown) followed by at least a month of South Korea (very aggressive and widespread testing). At minimum, that means at least 50% of the US population under lockdown and a ratio of 15:1 in tests to results showing infection. The recent exponential growth of about 35% per day must be stopped. Those three most important metrics are starred (***) below.
- Number: up +11,226 to 46,450 (vs. +8,477 on March 23)
- ***Rate of increase: day/day: 32% (vs. 34.6% baseline and vs. 32% on March 22)
- Number: 65,840, up +21,772 vs. March 23 day/day
- Rate: increase of 49% vs. number of tests previous day
- Infections +32% vs. Tests +49% day/day
- Number: 65,840 new tests vs. 10,296 new diagnosed infections
- ***Ratio: 6.4:1
- Total lockdown (personal + business): 16 (CA, CT, DE, IL, IN, LA, NM, MC, NJ, NY, OH, OR, PR, WA, WI, WV)
- Business lockdown: 4 (MA, MD, NV, PA)
- Partial restrictions on business: 15 (CO, DC, FL, GA, HI, IA, KY, ME, MN, NH, NC, RI, SC, VA, VT)
- School closure only: 13 (AK, AL, AZ, AR, KS, MI, MO, ND, OK, SD, TN, UT, WY)
- No mandatory restrictions: 4 (ID, MI, NE, TX)
- ***Total lockdown: 134.0 million, 40.4%
- ***Business lockdown: 28.8 million, 8.7%
- Partial restrictions on business (bars, restaurants): 83.6 million, 25.2%
- School closure only: 39.2 million, 11.8%
- No mandatory restrictions: 38.8 million, 11.7%