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Mike Norman Economics

Forget economics, Ukraine just hit Defcon 4.

Russia's annexation of territories and Ukraine's accession to NATO ensure WW3 and potential nuclear annihilation. All else is moot. Trade and invest using the concepts of MMT. Get a 30-day free trial to MMT Trader. https://www.pitbulleconomics.com/ Mike Norman Twitter https://twitter.com/mikenorman Mike Norman Economics: https://mikenormaneconomics.blogspot.com/

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Primer: Basics Of A Swap Meltdown — Brian Romanchuk

I am now seeing more attempts to dig into what exactly happened in the United Kingdom interest rate market. In this article, I am not attempting to do that. Instead, I am just giving a primer on how interest rate swaps are used to hedge liabilities, and what can go wrong when interest rates rise. The mechanisms I describe were likely part of the issue, but I am not saying that this is “the” explanation. Since most people are unsure what liability-driven investment and swaps are, so I am...

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Let’s Talk Turkey Stephanie Kelton

Today’s post will be short. I spent the day mostly doing interviews and ran short on time. I was planning to write about Turkey at some point, but Brian Romanchuk beat me to it. So I’m just going to set things up and encourage you to read what Brian has written....The LensLet's Talk Turkey [which now prefers to be called by it official name, Tūrkiye]Stephanie Kelton | Professor of Public Policy and Economics at Stony Brook University, formerly Democrats' chief economist on the staff of the...

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Short term bounce is likely.

Three days of positive flows should lead to a rebound, but the extent of that may be limited. Trade and invest using the concepts of MMT. Get a 30-day free trial to MMT Trader. https://www.pitbulleconomics.com/ Mike Norman Twitter https://twitter.com/mikenorman Mike Norman Economics: https://mikenormaneconomics.blogspot.com/

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Bill Mitchell — The last week in Britain demonstrates key MMT propositions

There was commentary earlier this week (September 26, 2022) from an investment banker entitled ‘MMT takes a pounding’. I won’t link to it because I don’t want to send traffic to their site. But it is the narrative that the financial market commentators who desire to politicise public debate and use it to attack their pet hates. Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) apparently is a pet hate of this character and like many with similar biases he has been champing at the bit for some semblance of...

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The “gilt crisis” — Brian Romanchuk

I have not seen too many longer articles about the “gilt crisis” in the United Kingdom, but have seen a variety of reactions on Twitter. My reaction is that the discussions reminded me why I mainly followed people who used the title “rates forecaster” and not “economist” when I was in finance. (The “rates forecasters” might have had economics degrees, but they knew that if they wanted people like me to take them seriously, they needed to not sound like the people with “economist” in their...

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Benefit of higher risk free rate

The higher rates provide higher risk free income to critical USD accounts.  This is and will turn out to be a better policy than the MMT policy of permanent ZIRP with current institutional arrangements of ERISA.A drawback of the policy adjustment though has been the severe reduction in NPV of all financial assets of moving it from 0.05% in March to the projected 4.5% in December…  9 months…A 10-yr asset would project a 35% reduction in NPV due to an immediate adjustment from 0 to 4.5%… so...

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Explaining today: the behavior of a schizophrenic madman. (Investors.)

It's not just investors that are psychotic, but central banks and the whole entire failed dogma of monetarism. Not worth explaining, but I give it a try. Trade and invest using the concepts of MMT. Get a 30-day free trial to MMT Trader. https://www.pitbulleconomics.com/ Mike Norman Twitter https://twitter.com/mikenorman Mike Norman Economics: https://mikenormaneconomics.blogspot.com/

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A Wonky (But Worthwhile) Read — Stephanie Kelton

Link to Randy Wray's "Monetary Policy: An Institutionalist Approach" as an antidote to the poison of monetarism and its policy application.The LensA Wonky (But Worthwhile) ReadStephanie Kelton | Professor of Public Policy and Economics at Stony Brook University, formerly Democrats' chief economist on the staff of the U.S. Senate Budget Committee, and an economic adviser to the 2016 presidential campaign of Senator Bernie Sanders

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Bill Mitchell — Musicians should be paid at least a socially inclusive minimum living wage

It’s Wednesday and I am now ensconced in Kyoto, Japan for the months ahead. I will report on various aspects of that experience as time passes. Today, I reflect on a debate that is going on in Australia about the situation facing live musicians. Should promoters be able to employ them for poverty wages including ‘nothing’ while still profiting or should they be forced to pay the musicians a living wage. You can guess where I sit in the debate.…We can change that to, "Everyone should be paid...

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