Many electrons have been inconvenienced over this topic, and most have been in vain. I’ve wondered all week whether I had anything meaningful to add. However, a few points that have emerged in discussions are worth highlighting....New WaylandThe Accursed Tariffs NeilW
Read More »IRS has agreed to share migrants’ tax information with ICE
So imminently employers of millions of illegals are gonna be submitting their FICA tax reports containing those now DOGE deleted 9M SSNs and IRS is gonna immediately flip that information over to ICE for immigration raids probably to the largest offenders first…Could be a mass firing event which probably won’t show up in UE claims because the current employees are illegal… maybe job openings will spike up … while UE rate appears constant…So Art degree Fed morons will interpret that as...
Read More »Trump’s “Liberation Day”: Another PR Gag, or Global Reorientation Turning Point? — Simplicius
I am a bit late with this. I have been jammed this week and just got to. It's an explanation of the Trump tariffs. It's the brain child of Stephen Miran, chair of the Council of Economic Advisors. Miran lays it out in A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System. Simplicius summarizes it briefly.Bill Mitchell deals with this from the MMT point of view in today's post, which I linked to earlier.Simplicius the ThinkerTrump's "Liberation Day": Another PR Gag, or Global...
Read More »US government is pinning its tariff hopes on some unlikely to be realised assumptions— Bill Mitchell
Last week, the US President honoured his election promise, indeed his long-held commitment, to increase tariffs on imported goods and services to the US. The formula they came up to differentiate between countries was bizarre but I don’t intend commenting on that here, except to say, the imposition of tariffs on the – Heard Island and McDonald Islands – which are an ‘Australian external territory’ that is a ‘a volcanic group of mostly barren Antarctic islands, about two-thirds of the way...
Read More »The Hidden Power of Sovereign Wealth Funds — NeilW
A recent UnHerd article warns of a “crypto time bomb,” suggesting that stablecoins could become a geopolitical tool to undermine the U.S. economy by redirecting foreign dollar reserves into U.S. Treasuries. The core assumption is that countries like Japan are sitting on idle piles of dollars, waiting for a stablecoin intermediary to put them to use.This misreads how international finance operates. Like other major dollar holders, Japan doesn’t need help managing reserves. Dollars earned from...
Read More »DOGE deletes 7M Federal ID numbers
If these numbers represent illegal alien people currently working using other dead peoples ID numbers, when the payroll taxes are paid this week and 7M fraud notices go out to the employers it could turn out Elon actually threw 7 million people out of their jobs this week … it could create a mass firing event of 7 million people who are currently working (albeit illegally but nevertheless) in the economy, …. causing a collapse in output and a collapse in tax receipts going forward…Mike will...
Read More »The Effects of Modern Monetary Theory on the Structure of Production — Patrick Newman
For the record. From an Austrian economist.AbstractThis paper analyzes the debt monetization proposals of Modern Monetary Theory from an Austrian structure of production perspective. It shows that this policy raises societal time preferences and reduces the number of higher order stages in the economy, leading to a higher interest rate, lower economic growth, and increased prices of consumer goods. In order to demonstrate this, it goes back to the basics and investigates the nature of...
Read More »An Explanation Of Why Taxes Don’t Fund Spending—And Why Elon Musk Is Wrong About The US Government Deficit — Jim Byrne
Pass it on.MMT101.ORG - Learn Modern Monetary Theory (MMT)An Explanation Of Why Taxes Don’t Fund Spending—And Why Elon Musk Is Wrong About The US Government DeficitJim Byrne - MMT101.ORG
Read More »Reserve flows under debt ceiling
TGA down at 450b area now … So let’s assume they keep screwing around and eventually bottom it out at 50b leaving the current threat at 400b reserves in TGA that could be forced upon the banking system … To cover that 400b, banks would need at least 1/10th of that in capital for SLR of 0.1 … (might be a bit less) but we’ll be conservative … 1/10th is 40b… so eg if banks were given 40b of additional free capital right now, then they could cover those additional 400b reserve assets without...
Read More »The Loan Lock Paradox — NeilW
It’s been over ten years since the Bank of England published Money creation in the modern economy, yet despite that, I run into people daily parroting untruths about how banking works. As part of the update to the UK Accounting Model, we will enhance the banking chapter to cover how lending institutions work and highlight some of the intriguing artefacts that a proper understanding reveals....New WaylandThe Loan Lock ParadoxNeilW
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