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US Trade

Summary:
This is just for ‘goods’ but seems to be counter to all other releases reporting weak exports, but it has been zig zagging it’s way lower and August was particularly weak. And note the weakness in car imports: International trade in goodsHighlightsSeptember reversed August’s outsized goods trade gap, coming in at .6 billion vs .2 billion. Exports jumped 3.1 percent following August’s 3.2 percent decline with wide gains in consumer goods, autos, industrial supplies and capital goods. Imports fell 2.5 percent following the prior month’s 2.2 percent gain. Decreases are wide including industrial supplies, capital goods, autos and consumer goods. The results do point to slowing demand but, because imports are counted as a subtraction in the national accounts, they should nevertheless give a boost to third-quarter GDP estimates. And this typical commentary from today on why the Fed isn’t hiking: The decision comes amid multiple data points that show a weakening in the economy, particularly in job gains and exports. Inflation measures the Fed follows also reflect little in the way of wage and price pressures, while economists are anticipating a muted holiday shopping season.

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This is just for ‘goods’ but seems to be counter to all other releases reporting weak exports, but it has been zig zagging it’s way lower and August was particularly weak. And note the weakness in car imports:

International trade in goods
US Trade
Highlights
September reversed August’s outsized goods trade gap, coming in at $58.6 billion vs $67.2 billion. Exports jumped 3.1 percent following August’s 3.2 percent decline with wide gains in consumer goods, autos, industrial supplies and capital goods. Imports fell 2.5 percent following the prior month’s 2.2 percent gain. Decreases are wide including industrial supplies, capital goods, autos and consumer goods. The results do point to slowing demand but, because imports are counted as a subtraction in the national accounts, they should nevertheless give a boost to third-quarter GDP estimates.

And this typical commentary from today on why the Fed isn’t hiking:

The decision comes amid multiple data points that show a weakening in the economy, particularly in job gains and exports. Inflation measures the Fed follows also reflect little in the way of wage and price pressures, while economists are anticipating a muted holiday shopping season.

WARREN MOSLER
Warren Mosler is an American economist and theorist, and one of the leading voices in the field of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Presently, Warren resides on St. Croix, in the US Virgin Islands, where he owns and operates Valance Co., Inc.

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