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Global warming: bet on it

Summary:
I guess it is time to publish this graph, from the USA NASA.gov site. My prediction: this series will soon be discontinued. I did add some text, as grading has tought me that even intelligent people often have difficulties with the interpretation of graphs. My interpretation: the ‘no warming’ meme, which has been quite influential in climate denial circles, is and Always has been bonkers and climate change is progressing faster than expected. But are these deniers really stupid, or bad at understanding graphs? According to Alex Tabarrok, ‘a bet is a tax on bullshit’. I’ve tried, several times, to make serious long-term bets with vehement deniers… To no avail.

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I guess it is time to publish this graph, from the USA NASA.gov site. My prediction: this series will soon be discontinued. I did add some text, as grading has tought me that even intelligent people often have difficulties with the interpretation of graphs. My interpretation: the ‘no warming’ meme, which has been quite influential in climate denial circles, is and Always has been bonkers and climate change is progressing faster than expected. But are these deniers really stupid, or bad at understanding graphs? According to Alex Tabarrok, ‘a bet is a tax on bullshit’. I’ve tried, several times, to make serious long-term bets with vehement deniers… To no avail.

Global warming: bet on it

Merijn T. Knibbe
Economic historian, statistician, outdoor guide (coastal mudflats), father, teacher, blogger. Likes De Kift and El Greco. Favorite epoch 1890-1930.

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