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Sapir in May 2008 on the Great Financial Crisis

Summary:
Two days ago this blog published a blogpost by Jaques Sapir, a French economist, who stated that access to his RussEurope blog had been suspended because his posts had become to political… Interestingly, in the May 2008 issue of theReal World Economics Review, at a time when Jean-Claude Trichet, a French economists and former head of the ECB, still denied the crisis and even increased interest rates (22 July 2008: +0,25%), Sapir already had a keen insight into the nature and severity of the crisis. Silence him – at your peril! The current financial crisis has become a major international event and can be compared to the 1997-1999 world financial crisis3. The current crisis has spread from the US mortgage market, where it exploded in the spring of 2007, to the global banking and

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Two days ago this blog published a blogpost by Jaques Sapir, a French economist, who stated that access to his RussEurope blog had been suspended because his posts had become to political… Interestingly, in the May 2008 issue of theReal World Economics Review, at a time when Jean-Claude Trichet, a French economists and former head of the ECB, still denied the crisis and even increased interest rates (22 July 2008: +0,25%), Sapir already had a keen insight into the nature and severity of the crisis. Silence him – at your peril!

The current financial crisis has become a major international event and can be compared to the 1997-1999 world financial crisis3. The current crisis has spread from the US mortgage market, where it exploded in the spring of 2007, to the global banking and financial system. It now, spring 2008, threatens a systemic collapse of the banking system. It has pulled the US economy into recession and already by late 2007 its consequences were being felt in the Euro-Zone. Most analysts now forecast a GDP fall of between 0.5% to 3.0% in the US economy and very slow growth in the Euro Zone. However, a major difference with the 1997-1999 crisis is that emerging markets look much less impacted than developed economies.

Merijn T. Knibbe
Economic historian, statistician, outdoor guide (coastal mudflats), father, teacher, blogger. Likes De Kift and El Greco. Favorite epoch 1890-1930.

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