The use of mathematics in physics and economics My idea is to examine the most well-known works of a selection of the most famous neoclassical economists in the period from 1945 to the present. My survey of well-known works by four famous mathematical neoclassical economists (Samuelson, Arrow, Debreu, Prescott) who all won the Nobel Prize for economics, has not revealed any precise explanations or successful predictions. This supports my conjecture that...
Read More »Why IS-LM doesn’t capture Keynes’ approach to the economy
Why IS-LM doesn’t capture Keynes’ approach to the economy Suppose workers are unemployed. As a result, although willing to work even at lower wages, they are unable to buy consumption goods. As a result, firms are unable to sell those goods if they produced them. So they do not employ the workers who, as a consequence, do not have the wages to buy the consumption goods. The economy is caught in a vicious cycle of deficient demand. According to the IS/LM...
Read More »Endogenous growth theory — a crash course
Endogenous growth theory — a crash course
Read More »What is ergodicity?
Why are election polls often inaccurate? Why is racism wrong? Why are your assumptions often mistaken? The answers to all these questions and to many others have a lot to do with the non-ergodicity of human ensembles. Many scientists agree that ergodicity is one of the most important concepts in statistics. So, what is it? Suppose you are concerned with determining what the most visited parks in a city are. One idea is to take a momentary snapshot: to see how many people are...
Read More »Mainstream economics — sacrificing realism at the altar of mathematical purity
Mainstream economics — sacrificing realism at the altar of mathematical purity Economists are too detached from the real world and have failed to learn from the financial crisis, insisting on using mathematical models which do not reflect reality, according to the Bank of England’s chief economist Andy Haldane. The public has lost faith in economists since the credit crunch, he said, but the profession has failed to thoroughly re-examine its failings to...
Read More »The rebel who blew up macroeconomics
The rebel who blew up macroeconomics Paul Romer says he really hadn’t planned to trash macroeconomics as a math-obsessed pseudoscience. Or infuriate countless colleagues. It just sort of happened … The upshot was “The Trouble With Macroeconomics,” a scathing critique that landed among Romer’s peers like a grenade. In a time of febrile politics, with anti-establishment revolts breaking out everywhere, faith in economists was already ebbing: They got blamed...
Read More »‘Post-real’ macroeconomics — three decades of intellectual regress
‘Post-real’ macroeconomics — three decades of intellectual regress Macroeconomists got comfortable with the idea that fluctuations in macroeconomic aggregates are caused by imaginary shocks, instead of actions that people take, after Kydland and Prescott (1982) launched the real business cycle (RBC) model … In response to the observation that the shocks are imaginary, a standard defence invokes Milton Friedman’s (1953) methodological assertion from unnamed...
Read More »Public debt should not be zero. Ever!
Public debt should not be zero. Ever! Nation states borrow to provide public capital: For example, rail networks, road systems, airports and bridges. These are examples of large expenditure items that are more efficiently provided by government than by private companies. The benefits of public capital expenditures are enjoyed not only by the current generation of people, who must sacrifice consumption to pay for them, but also by future generations who will...
Read More »Follies and fallacies of Chicago economics
Follies and fallacies of Chicago economics Every dollar of increased government spending must correspond to one less dollar of private spending. Jobs created by stimulus spending are offset by jobs lost from the decline in private spending. We can build roads instead of factories, but fiscal stimulus can’t help us to build more of both. This form of “crowding out” is just accounting, and doesn’t rest on any perceptions or behavioral assumptions. John...
Read More »Is Dani Rodrik really a pluralist?
Is Dani Rodrik really a pluralist? Unlearning economics has a well-written and interesting review of Dani Rodrik’s book Economics Rules up on Pieria. Although the reviewer thinks there is much in the book to like and appreciate, there are also things he strongly objects to. Such as Rodrik’s stance on the issue of pluralism: If Rodrik is at his strongest when discussing particular neoclassical models and their applications, he’s at his weakest when...
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