The “gold standard” of employment reports suggests that last summer’s job growth was even weaker than we thought – by New Deal democrat While the monthly jobs report gets all the headlines, the “gold standard” for actual employment gains and losses is the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), which as its name indicates, unlike the payrolls report is not a survey but rather an actual census of about 97% of all employers, via their...
Read More »The Big Story: a 100+ year near-record decline in commodity prices is enabling continued record wage growth and employment
This is the Big Story: a 100+ year near-record decline in commodity prices is enabling continued record wage growth and employment – by New Deal democrat No important economic data today, so let me elaborate on the matter of “immaculate disinflation,” i.e., the decline in inflation without a decline in growth. I’m going to argue that, to the extent there is causation, it is the reverse of what is generally assumed, to wit: that there is...
Read More »The Big Story: a 100+ year near-record decline in commodity prices is enabling continued record wage growth and employment
This is the Big Story: a 100+ year near-record decline in commodity prices is enabling continued record wage growth and employment – by New Deal democrat No important economic data today, so let me elaborate on the matter of “immaculate disinflation,” i.e., the decline in inflation without a decline in growth. I’m going to argue that, to the extent there is causation, it is the reverse of what is generally assumed, to wit: that there is...
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