Weekly Indicators for December 12 – 16 at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. The coincident indicators, especially employment, are hanging on by the proverbial skin of their teeth. I don’t think they roll over until gas prices stop declining. In any event, clicking over and reading will bring you up to the moment on the status of the carnage, and bring me a little reward for the...
Read More »“Recession Watch” now “Recession Warning”
New Deal Democrat’s Weekly Indicators for November 14 – 18 at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. It had to happen sooner or later. Earlier this year, based on the long leading indicators, I went on “Recession Watch.” Now, for the first time in a very long time, I have escalated to “Recession Warning.” I believe there is much more than a 50/50 chance of a recession beginning in the next 6...
Read More »New Deal democrat’s Weekly Indicators for November 7 – 11
“Weekly Indicators for November 7 – 11″ at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. Although a few indicators are holding up, in the past month there has been almost continual deterioration in several employment and consumption metrics. These are particularly important for whether the consumer is pulling back, typically a signal that a recession is close to imminent. As usual, clicking over...
Read More »New Deal democrat’s Weekly Indicators for October 31 – November 4
“Weekly Indicators for October 31 – November 4″ at Seeking Alpha. – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. Data doesn’t move relentlessly in one direction, and this week there was some improvement in some of the indicators I follow. As usual, clicking over and reading will bring you up to the virtual economic moment, and reward me a little bit for my efforts. “New Deal democrat’s Weekly Indicators for...
Read More »New Deal democrat’s weekly indicators for October 24 – 28
Weekly Indicators for October 24 – 28 at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators Post is up at Seeking Alpha. Slowly even more indicators are deteriorating in several timeframes. As usual, clicking over and reading will bring you up to date on the economy, and bring me a little reward for my efforts. “New Deal democrat’s weekly indicators for October 17 – 21,” Angry Bear, angrybearblog....
Read More »New Deal democrat’s Weekly Indicators for October 10 – 14
Weekly Indicators for October 10 – 14 at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. Just about everything looks awful. And one bright spot, consumer spending as measured by Redbook, just got dimmer. Needless to say, if consumer spending rolls over, that’s pretty much the ball game.. You can be brought up to the virtual moment in the ugliness by clicking over and reading, and it will reward...
Read More »NDd’s Weekly Indicators for October 3 – 7
Weekly Indicators for October 3 – 7 at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. This week’s headline was easy, because OPEC’s (and in particular Russia and Saudi Arabia’s) geopolitical decision – aimed directly at the November elections in the US as well as Western support for Ukraine – to cut back production has already caused gas and oil prices to increase sharply. As usual, clicking over...
Read More »Weekly Indicators for September 19 – 23
Weekly Indicators for September 19 – 23 at Seeking Alpha – by New Deal democrat My Weekly Indicators column is up at Seeking Alpha. For the third week in a row, interest rates increased, and gas prices, along with the prices of other commodities, tumbled. While the decline in gas prices is good, the downturn in other commodity prices is a sign of weakening global demand. Once the decline in gas prices stops, I suspect the economic...
Read More »Weekly Indicators for August 29 – September 2 at Seeking Alpha
[unable to retrieve full-text content]Weekly Indicators for August 29 – September 2 at Seeking Alpha My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. The consumer portion of the economy continues to benefit from lower gas prices, while the producer side continues to suffer from higher interest rates. As usual, clicking over and reading will bring you up to the […] The post Weekly Indicators for August 29 – September 2 at Seeking Alpha appeared first on Angry Bear.
Read More »Weekly Indicators for August 22 – 26 at Seeking Alpha
Weekly Indicators for August 22 – 26 at Seeking Alpha My Weekly Indicators post is up at Seeking Alpha. In the past couple of weeks, the decline in gas prices has slowed considerably. Once they stabilize, the underlying economic fundamentals should reassert themselves. In the meantime, there are cross currents of interest rates and manufacturing orders, among other things. As usual, clicking over and reading should be educational for you...
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