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NFIB small business optimism, Redbook retail sales, Import/export prices

Summary:
When this we going up a bit it made headlines. Now when it’s flashing recession it doesn’t: NFIB Small Business Optimism IndexHighlightsSmall business owners remain pessimistic, with the small business optimism index dipping another 0.3 points in March to 92.6, surpassing February’s two year low and remaining well below the 42-year average of 98. Four of the 10 component indices posted a gain and six posted declines. Among the most optimistic parts of the index, plans to increase capital outlays rose to remain at very solid levels while the job openings were a little less hard to fill in March, but still very hard. But earnings trends continued turning from bad to worse in March, and though small business owners were more optimistic than in February in their expectations that the economy will improve, this component of the index is still in deep pessimistic territory at a net negative 17 percent.

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When this we going up a bit it made headlines. Now when it’s flashing recession it doesn’t:

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
NFIB small business optimism, Redbook retail sales, Import/export prices
Highlights
Small business owners remain pessimistic, with the small business optimism index dipping another 0.3 points in March to 92.6, surpassing February’s two year low and remaining well below the 42-year average of 98. Four of the 10 component indices posted a gain and six posted declines. Among the most optimistic parts of the index, plans to increase capital outlays rose to remain at very solid levels while the job openings were a little less hard to fill in March, but still very hard. But earnings trends continued turning from bad to worse in March, and though small business owners were more optimistic than in February in their expectations that the economy will improve, this component of the index is still in deep pessimistic territory at a net negative 17 percent.

Below prior recession levels:
NFIB small business optimism, Redbook retail sales, Import/export prices
And no upturn hear yet:
NFIB small business optimism, Redbook retail sales, Import/export prices
Deflationary pressures continue:
NFIB small business optimism, Redbook retail sales, Import/export prices

WARREN MOSLER
Warren Mosler is an American economist and theorist, and one of the leading voices in the field of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Presently, Warren resides on St. Croix, in the US Virgin Islands, where he owns and operates Valance Co., Inc.

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