Economic forecasting—why it matters and why it is so often wrong — Lars P. Syll

Summary:
The problems that economists encounter when trying to predict the future really underline how important it is for social sciences to incorporate Keynes’s far-reaching and incisive analysis of induction and evidential weight in his seminal A Treatise on Probability (1921)....Lars P. Syll’s BlogEconomic forecasting — why it matters and why it is so often wrongLars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

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