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Economic forecasting—why it matters and why it is so often wrong — Lars P. Syll

Summary:
The problems that economists encounter when trying to predict the future really underline how important it is for social sciences to incorporate Keynes’s far-reaching and incisive analysis of induction and evidential weight in his seminal A Treatise on Probability (1921)....Lars P. Syll’s BlogEconomic forecasting — why it matters and why it is so often wrongLars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

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The problems that economists encounter when trying to predict the future really underline how important it is for social sciences to incorporate Keynes’s far-reaching and incisive analysis of induction and evidential weight in his seminal A Treatise on Probability (1921)....
Lars P. Syll’s Blog
Economic forecasting — why it matters and why it is so often wrong
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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