Mike Norman Economics

Except for a tax train next week, the bullish trend will continue as fiscal flows remain strong. 

Taking a longer view, over the last two decades, the fact that the value of the US dollar has been broadly unchanged, while the US dollar’s share of global reserves has declined, indicates that central banks have indeed been shifting gradually away from the dollar.BNEIMF: Dollar’s "stealth erosion" in global reserves by other currenciesSerkan Arslanalp for the IMF, Barry Eichengreen, Chima Simpson-Bell

Fed says it is “puzzled“ as to why it’s policy is not having an effect. 

A strong economic number, jobs, and monetarists sold the market. 

As has become abundantly clear during the last couple of years, it is obvious that most mainstream economists seem to think that Modern Monetary Theory is something new that some wild heterodox economic cranks have come up with. That is actually very telling about the total lack of knowledge of their own discipline’s history these modern mainstream guys like Summers, Rogoff and Krugman have.New? Cranks? Reading one of the founders of neoclassical economics, Knut Wicksell, and what he wrote...

More than five years in, no recession and growth still strong, they’re still saying the inverted yield curve is forecasting recession. 

To practice self discipline.

Transfers to the non-governmental sector are still falling. 

I predicted this from their very first forecast. 

The UK Guardian published quite an odd article the other day (May 30, 2024) by Mr GFC Spreadsheet Fudge Man Kenneth Rogoff – Why policymakers are more likely to risk high inflation during periods of economic uncertainty – which essentially claims that economic policy has been conducted for several years by institutions that do not meet the essential requirements that are specified by the mainstream New Keynesian macroeconomic approach, upon which the institutions have claimed justification....