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Real-World Economics Review

Weekend read – The cause of stagflation

from Blair Fix In my last post, I looked at the relation between economic growth and inflation. As per usual, the evidence didn’t sit well with mainstream economics. According to standard theory, there is a trade off between low inflation and high economic growth. The idea is that you can have one or the other, but not both. So if you want to keep inflation low, you have to ‘cool off’ the economy by slowing economic growth. (Like many things in economics, this idea comes from the totem of...

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Lead-Lag Live: The Modern Economy Is Rigged With Dean Baker

Unlimited debt? Unlimited pain. Don't forget to like, share, and subscribe! Twitter: https://twitter.com/leadlagreport​​​​​ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/leadlagreport​​ Instagram: https://instagram.com/leadlagreport​​​ Check out Lead-Lag Live on all your favorite podcast platforms. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code YOUTUBE30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off. Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a...

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Economic forecasting — why it matters and why it is so often wrong

from Lars Syll As Oskar Morgenstern noted in his 1928 classic Wirtschaftsprognose: Eine Untersuchung ihrer Voraussetzungen und Möglichkeiten, economic predictions and forecasts amount to little more than intelligent guessing. Making forecasts and predictions obviously isn’t a trivial or costless activity, so why then go on with it? The problems that economists encounter when trying to predict the future really underline how important it is for social sciences to incorporate Keynes’s...

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Ecological reasoning demands perspectives that economics is designed to obliterate

from Gregory A. Daneke  Given the numerous disasters exhibited of late involving Mainstream Economics, various heterodox economists have called for much greater consideration of ecological processes (both natural and social, see Fullbrook & Morgan, 2001).  Such processes, in turn, have become increasingly illuminated through the burgeoning science of complex adaptive systems (e.g., Preiser, et al, 2018). What some of these earnest observers fail to fully appreciate, however, is that...

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An age of crisis

from Oxfam An age of crisis, causing huge suffering for most of humanity As billionaires, government leaders and corporate executives jet in to meet atop their mountain in Davos, Switzerland, the world faces a dramatic, dangerous and destructive set of simultaneous crises. These are having a terrible impact on the majority of people, something Oxfam sees in its work across the world. In 2022, the World Bank announced that we will fail to meet the goal of ending extreme poverty by 2030,...

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Hyman Minsky and the IS-LM obfuscation

from Lars Syll As a young research stipendiate in the U.S. yours truly had the pleasure and privilege of having Hyman Minsky as a teacher. He was a great inspiration at the time. He still is. The concepts which it is usual to ignore or deemphasize in interpreting Keynes — the cyclical perspective, the relations between investment and finance, and uncertainty, are the keys to an understanding of the full significance of his contribution … The glib assumption made by Professor Hicks in his...

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