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Nick Bunker — Markups, macroeconomics, and the changing U.S. economy

Summary:
The two authors [Jan De Loecker of Princeton University and Jan Eeckhout of University College London] find a large increase in the average markup from 1980 to 2014—specifically an increase by a factor of 3.65. In 1980, the average markup was 18 percent and by 2014, the average was 67 percent. But interestingly, the increase is concentrated at the top of the markup distribution: The firm at the 90th percentile in 2014 had a markup of about 160 percent, compared to a markup of 40 percent for the 90th percentile firm in 1980. The markup at the median didn’t change much at all. In order to tie these increased markups with rising market power, the economists show how increases in markups are associated with higher profit levels, higher dividend payments, and a higher average market value—all

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The two authors [Jan De Loecker of Princeton University and Jan Eeckhout of University College London] find a large increase in the average markup from 1980 to 2014—specifically an increase by a factor of 3.65. In 1980, the average markup was 18 percent and by 2014, the average was 67 percent. But interestingly, the increase is concentrated at the top of the markup distribution: The firm at the 90th percentile in 2014 had a markup of about 160 percent, compared to a markup of 40 percent for the 90th percentile firm in 1980. The markup at the median didn’t change much at all. In order to tie these increased markups with rising market power, the economists show how increases in markups are associated with higher profit levels, higher dividend payments, and a higher average market value—all of which would correspond to more market power in the economy....
Asymmetry in market power is increasing. This implies that economic rent is increasing.

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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