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The Saker — 2018 – War or No War?

Summary:
The Saker is pessimistic. Delusional imbeciles giving orders and dishonorable cowards mindlessly executing them. That is the setup we are dealing with.... All my education has always been based on a crucial central assumption: the other guy is rational. That is a huge assumption to make, but one which was fundamentally true during the Cold War. Today I find myself inclined to think that psychologists are probably better suited to make predictions about the actions of the rulers of the AngloZionist Empire than military analysts. Furthermore, history shows us that the combination of delusional imbeciles and dishonorable cowards is what typically brings down empires, we saw a very good example of that with the collapse of the Soviet Empire.... The Saker assumes that the neocons are

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The Saker is pessimistic.
Delusional imbeciles giving orders and dishonorable cowards mindlessly executing them. That is the setup we are dealing with....
All my education has always been based on a crucial central assumption: the other guy is rational. That is a huge assumption to make, but one which was fundamentally true during the Cold War. Today I find myself inclined to think that psychologists are probably better suited to make predictions about the actions of the rulers of the AngloZionist Empire than military analysts. Furthermore, history shows us that the combination of delusional imbeciles and dishonorable cowards is what typically brings down empires, we saw a very good example of that with the collapse of the Soviet Empire....
The Saker assumes that the neocons are back.

Col Pat Lang disagrees. Lang holds that Trump is in charge and no one in the military is going to try and end run him. That includes "the generals." In addition, it's hard to know what DJT really thinks, since he is an experienced negotiator who holds his cards close to his chest and knows the value of keeping opponents off balance.

On the other hand, I agree with the Saker that the likelihood of more war in 2018 is high. For one thing, Trump is likely to decide on upping  the ante and it is questionable if he really understand this game. Negotiating skills are not directly transferable from business to international relations.

The Unz Review
2018 - War or No War?

The Saker

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Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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