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Alan Longbon — Could Turkey Default? The Maths Say No

Summary:
Most of the "analysis" of Turkey being offered is nonsense. Speculators following it will be taking the losing side of the trade. Alan Longbon nails it. This post is the best available that I am aware of.   The title is too limited. The article comprehensive.  Does President Erdogan understand MMT? And maybe President Putin, too? Is the world waking up? To early to tell but the signs are encouraging. President Erdogan realizes that that the international institutions like the IMF and the global capitalist elite they are represent are on the same neoliberal page.  Erdogan is also aware that like other central bank the Turkish central bank is on this same page. Can he crack central bank independent. The "international community" is warning him not to try.  That would

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Most of the "analysis" of Turkey being offered is nonsense. Speculators following it will be taking the losing side of the trade.

Alan Longbon nails it. This post is the best available that I am aware of.  

The title is too limited. The article comprehensive. 

Does President Erdogan understand MMT? And maybe President Putin, too? Is the world waking up?

To early to tell but the signs are encouraging.

President Erdogan realizes that that the international institutions like the IMF and the global capitalist elite they are represent are on the same neoliberal page. 

Erdogan is also aware that like other central bank the Turkish central bank is on this same page. Can he crack central bank independent. The "international community" is warning him not to try. 

That would be "dictatorial," you see, and undercut the currency even more — as "they" do their best to create a financial crisis to effect regime change.

BTW, this article is an excellent example of MMT analysis in action. Alan Longbon is worth following if you are not already.

Seeking Alpha
Could Turkey Default? The Maths Say No
Alan Longbon
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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