Tuesday , November 5 2024
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China down another 3%…

Summary:
I think this takes them now 30% below old highs... They are going to have to add capital to their banks eventually (US in 2008/09 happened at -40%) to stop this price reduction in risk assets due to their current massive non-risk reserve addition... sorry libertarians...In the meantime you got a billion people over there who are getting more pissed off day after day... scary!!! They are losing control of the exchange rate too as they have to increase their bid in CNY per USD in order to increase reserve assets in the CNY system... more CNY per USD means the CNY goes down.... if they keep adding CNY reserves like this CNY will just keep falling... they wont hold 7... then Trump is going to get pissed... Only light at the end of the tunnel I see is ECB is supposed to at least cease

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I think this takes them now 30% below old highs... They are going to have to add capital to their banks eventually (US in 2008/09 happened at -40%) to stop this price reduction in risk assets due to their current massive non-risk reserve addition... sorry libertarians...

In the meantime you got a billion people over there who are getting more pissed off day after day... scary!!!

They are losing control of the exchange rate too as they have to increase their bid in CNY per USD in order to increase reserve assets in the CNY system... more CNY per USD means the CNY goes down.... if they keep adding CNY reserves like this CNY will just keep falling... they wont hold 7... then Trump is going to get pissed...

Only light at the end of the tunnel I see is ECB is supposed to at least cease asset purchases (reserve adds) in December and at least stop some of the current global addition of non-risk reserve assets...

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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