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Edward Harrison — James Montier: The Advent of a Cynical Bubble

Summary:
James Montier is one of my favorite market strategists. He is really good on behavioral economics. And his work inspired one of my favorite posts here on 17th century philosophers Descartes and Spinoza. James is also very good on his macro because he understands modern money and the sectoral balances framework of the late Wynne Godley.... Credit Writedowns James Montier: The Advent of a Cynical BubbleEdward Harrison also We are going from a market protected by the Fed to one in which the Fed is dragging the market in tow. As the Fed has begun lifting rates, the market has consistently proved to underestimate the Fed’s conviction. And I believe this trend will continue, driving interest rates higher. This will, in turn, create equity market volatility. If this happens, the Fed will

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James Montier is one of my favorite market strategists. He is really good on behavioral economics. And his work inspired one of my favorite posts here on 17th century philosophers Descartes and Spinoza. James is also very good on his macro because he understands modern money and the sectoral balances framework of the late Wynne Godley....
Credit Writedowns
James Montier: The Advent of a Cynical BubbleEdward Harrison

 also

We are going from a market protected by the Fed to one in which the Fed is dragging the market in tow. As the Fed has begun lifting rates, the market has consistently proved to underestimate the Fed’s conviction. And I believe this trend will continue, driving interest rates higher. This will, in turn, create equity market volatility.
If this happens, the Fed will likely move aggressively to "prove" its determination. (It's about creating expectations, after all.)



Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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