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Fed Balance Sheet

Summary:
Mike sent this chart out to his subscribers this week; bringing attention to a recent acceleration in the rate at which the Fed seems to be reducing Reserve Balances: This would seem to be confirmed by the statements of the Fed's Quarles on Friday here: The figure illustrates that the Fed's securities holdings are projected to decline about 0 billion this year and another 0 billion next year as Treasury and agency securities continue to roll off gradually from the Fed's portfolio. So 0B at an annual rate is about B/month which is faster than what they have been doing since they started to reduce in October which has been about B/month.

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Mike sent this chart out to his subscribers this week; bringing attention to a recent acceleration in the rate at which the Fed seems to be reducing Reserve Balances:

Fed Balance Sheet

This would seem to be confirmed by the statements of the Fed's Quarles on Friday here:

The figure illustrates that the Fed's securities holdings are projected to decline about $400 billion this year and another $460 billion next year as Treasury and agency securities continue to roll off gradually from the Fed's portfolio.

So $400B at an annual rate is about $33B/month which is faster than what they have been doing since they started to reduce in October which has been about $12B/month.

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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