Tuesday , November 5 2024
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Three current issues

Summary:
1.  Bank "stress test" results are due by April 5th meanwhile they have recently had to take a B-B (major) markdown of certain financial assets in response to the Jan. 1 tax reform law;and2.  Impending House approval of S.2155 the bank reform bill which will change the way (in banks favor) depository banks currently have to maintain regulatory capital against risk-free central bank deposits;and3.  First quarter earnings results start to come in along with (hopefully) some official forward looking statements by the firms as to the favorable effects on after tax earnings the Trump corporate tax reforms will bring...I don't see anything really good happening (financially...) until after these 3 issues resolve...

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1.  Bank "stress test" results are due by April 5th meanwhile they have recently had to take a $30B-$40B (major) markdown of certain financial assets in response to the Jan. 1 tax reform law;

and

2.  Impending House approval of S.2155 the bank reform bill which will change the way (in banks favor) depository banks currently have to maintain regulatory capital against risk-free central bank deposits;

and

3.  First quarter earnings results start to come in along with (hopefully) some official forward looking statements by the firms as to the favorable effects on after tax earnings the Trump corporate tax reforms will bring...

I don't see anything really good happening (financially...) until after these 3 issues resolve...

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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