Thursday , November 21 2024
Home / Mike Norman Economics / Lars P. Syll — Abduction – the induction that constitutes the essence​ of scientific reasoning

Lars P. Syll — Abduction – the induction that constitutes the essence​ of scientific reasoning

Summary:
Abduction in this sense is reasoning to the best explanation based on relevant information available. (The use of "abduction" by C. S. Peirce, the originator of the term, is somewhat different. See abductive reasoning) Math is an instrument of deduction. Deductive reasoning proceeds logically from a stipulated starting point, e.g., axioms, postulates, using deductive logic or mathematics. Abduction involves constructing conceptual or mathematical models based on what is given. To simplify, abduction begins as a "word problem" involving observation and conceptual understanding. From this a model as a candidate for providing best explanation is developed and then tested against that which is being modeled. Abduction stand in contrast to the intuitive approach to stipulating axioms

Topics:
Mike Norman considers the following as important: , , , , ,

This could be interesting, too:

Mike Norman writes A history of FLICC: the 5 techniques of science denial — John Cook

Mike Norman writes Lars P. Syll — The ergodicity problem in economics (wonkish)

Mike Norman writes Book Review: Marxism and the Philosophy of Science — George Martin Fell Brown

Mike Norman writes Racism is a framework, not a theory — Andrew Gelman


Abduction in this sense is reasoning to the best explanation based on relevant information available. (The use of "abduction" by C. S. Peirce, the originator of the term, is somewhat different. See abductive reasoning)

Math is an instrument of deduction. Deductive reasoning proceeds logically from a stipulated starting point, e.g., axioms, postulates, using deductive logic or mathematics.

Abduction involves constructing conceptual or mathematical models based on what is given. To simplify, abduction begins as a "word problem" involving observation and conceptual understanding. From this a model as a candidate for providing best explanation is developed and then tested against that which is being modeled.

Abduction stand in contrast to the intuitive approach to stipulating axioms as the basis for a deductive system. Conventional economics based on assuming equilibrium and maximization is intuitively based rather than abductive.

Induction is reasoning based on observation of particulars and assuming that the past resembles the future, eg., path dependence, hysteresis ergodicity. Abduction may employ induction, usually thought of in terms of probability and statistics.

Lars P. Syll’s Blog
Abduction — the induction that constitutes the essence​ of scientific reasoning
Lars P. Syll | Professor, Malmo University
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *