Sunday , November 24 2024
Home / Mike Norman Economics / Jonathan Woetzel and Jeongmin Seong — For all the hubbub about the US-China trade war, trade is a fraction of China’s economy

Jonathan Woetzel and Jeongmin Seong — For all the hubbub about the US-China trade war, trade is a fraction of China’s economy

Summary:
As recently as 2008, China’s net trade surplus accounted for 8% of GDP; by 2018, that figure was only about 1.3%—less than either Germany or South Korea, where net trade surpluses generate between 5% and 8% of GDP. The US isn’t far behind its Eastern neighbor: In 2018, US had a trade deficit of about 3% of GDP, down from 5% in 2006.... Instead, China’s economy today is driven by domestic consumption. In 11 of the 16 quarters since 2015, consumption has contributed more than 60% of GDP growth. In addition to becoming the world’s biggest market for online retail, the country now represents more than 30% of global market in luxury goods, automotive, consumer appliances, mobile phones, and spirits.... Quartz (May 6)For all the hubbub about the US-China trade war, trade is a fraction of

Topics:
Mike Norman considers the following as important:

This could be interesting, too:

Mike Norman writes RT — Beijing won’t just ‘watch Huawei be slaughtered on the chopping board’, company chief warns US

Mike Norman writes China to buy billion in U.S. farm products in return for tariff concessions-U.S. sources — Jeff Mason, Andrea Shalal, David Lawder

Mike Norman writes Is China Actually Stealing American Jobs and Wealth? John L. Graham and Benjamin Leffel

Mike Norman writes America’s War on Chinese Technology — Jeffrey D. Sachs

As recently as 2008, China’s net trade surplus accounted for 8% of GDP; by 2018, that figure was only about 1.3%—less than either Germany or South Korea, where net trade surpluses generate between 5% and 8% of GDP. The US isn’t far behind its Eastern neighbor: In 2018, US had a trade deficit of about 3% of GDP, down from 5% in 2006....
Instead, China’s economy today is driven by domestic consumption. In 11 of the 16 quarters since 2015, consumption has contributed more than 60% of GDP growth. In addition to becoming the world’s biggest market for online retail, the country now represents more than 30% of global market in luxury goods, automotive, consumer appliances, mobile phones, and spirits....
Quartz (May 6)
For all the hubbub about the US-China trade war, trade is a fraction of China's economy
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *