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The natural rate of interest is not zero

Summary:
Title a play on words of the MMT platonistic thesis "the natural rate of interest is zero!".This is expanded upon in the whitepaper here: Government taxing and security sales drain (subtract) reserves from the banking system. When the government realizes a budget deficit, there is a net reserve add to the banking system.  That is, Government deficit spending results in net credits to member bank reserves accounts. If these net credits lead to excess reserve positions, overnight interest rates will be bid down by the member banks with excess reserves to the interest rate paid on reserves by the central bank. This is NOT happening as witnessed this week...  cue the crickets...

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Title a play on words of the MMT platonistic thesis "the natural rate of interest is zero!".

This is expanded upon in the whitepaper here:

Government taxing and security sales drain (subtract) reserves from the banking system. When the government realizes a budget deficit, there is a net reserve add to the banking system. 
That is, Government deficit spending results in net credits to member bank reserves accounts. If these net credits lead to excess reserve positions, overnight interest rates will be bid down by the member banks with excess reserves to the interest rate paid on reserves by the central bank.

This is NOT happening as witnessed this week...  cue the crickets...

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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