Tuesday , November 5 2024
Home / Mike Norman Economics / 1962 India-China war redeux? — M. K. Bhadrakumar

1962 India-China war redeux? — M. K. Bhadrakumar

Summary:
Backgrounder.M. K. Bhadrakumar puts the blame squarely on the Indian elite for creating a threat to China that the Chinese would quite reasonably evaluate as real, with a predictable reaction forthcoming. Part of this threat is the recent rapprochement with the US militarily. but that is not all.This is the best analysis of the situation and the issues I have seen so far.India Punchline1962 India-China war redeux? M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign ServiceSee also Both sides have agreed to not use guns along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between the two countries. The soldiers used clubs and stones to fight each other during the night on a mountain ridge at 4,000 meter (14,000ft) height above the steep canyon of a very cold river. Apparently many of the dead

Topics:
Mike Norman considers the following as important:

This could be interesting, too:

Jodi Beggs writes Economists Do It With Models 1970-01-01 00:00:00

Mike Norman writes 24 per cent annual interest on time deposits: St Petersburg Travel Notes, installment three — Gilbert Doctorow

Lars Pålsson Syll writes Daniel Waldenströms rappakalja om ojämlikheten

Merijn T. Knibbe writes ´Fryslan boppe´. An in-depth inspirational analysis of work rewarded with the 2024 Riksbank prize in economic sciences.


Backgrounder.

M. K. Bhadrakumar puts the blame squarely on the Indian elite for creating a threat to China that the Chinese would quite reasonably evaluate as real, with a predictable reaction forthcoming. Part of this threat is the recent rapprochement with the US militarily. but that is not all.

This is the best analysis of the situation and the issues I have seen so far.

India Punchline
1962 India-China war redeux?
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service

See also

Both sides have agreed to not use guns along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) between the two countries. The soldiers used clubs and stones to fight each other during the night on a mountain ridge at 4,000 meter (14,000ft) height above the steep canyon of a very cold river. Apparently many of the dead fell off the ridge down into the river and died of hypothermia.
Another backgrounder. Adds more detail.

The U.S. and Australia have verbally supported India during the recent clashes. But neither seems inclined to become involved in an actual conflict.
The Sino-Indian war of 1962 started over similar border skirmishes and also with a larger strategic background. Within a few days China took several areas from India but after a month it pulled back from Indian territory. The idea had been to teach India a lesson and the point had been made.
Should the conflict escalate I expect a similar short and limited conflict as a reminder to Modi that a non-neutral alignment and claims on foreign territory do carry certain costs.
Pretty clear that China has to go to war if India pushes it's claims. This time, though, I very much doubt will pull back as it did previously, but instead annex the disputed territory.

Moon of Alabama
Why The Chinese-Indian Skirmishes May Escalate

also

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *