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Did China’s GDP growth 3.2% or 60%? — Scott Sumner

Summary:
China just reported 3.2% GDP growth in Q2. That number sounds about right to me. But I can’t help noticing that if China reported its GDP growth rates the way the US government does, it would have reported roughly 60% growth in Q2. At least I think it would have; see if you can follow my argument and correct any errors…. The Money IllusionDid China’s GDP growth 3.2% or 60%?Scott Sumner

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China just reported 3.2% GDP growth in Q2. That number sounds about right to me. But I can’t help noticing that if China reported its GDP growth rates the way the US government does, it would have reported roughly 60% growth in Q2. At least I think it would have; see if you can follow my argument and correct any errors….
The Money Illusion
Did China’s GDP growth 3.2% or 60%?
Scott Sumner
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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