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Labour Market Bounce — Brian Romanchuk

Summary:
Both Canadian and American labour market data for May surprised to the upside, and the Treasury market has been monkey-hammered. My view always was that guessing what would happen this month is a bit of a waste of time, and we won't get a clean read until the June data. A mechanical bounce in employment was always in the cards, the question is when, and at what levels. One data point doesn't establish a trend, but a lot of folks are breathing more easily today. Now let's hope that there isn't a second wave.Bond EconomicsLabour Market BounceBrian Romanchuk

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Both Canadian and American labour market data for May surprised to the upside, and the Treasury market has been monkey-hammered.
My view always was that guessing what would happen this month is a bit of a waste of time, and we won't get a clean read until the June data. A mechanical bounce in employment was always in the cards, the question is when, and at what levels.
One data point doesn't establish a trend, but a lot of folks are breathing more easily today. Now let's hope that there isn't a second wave.

Bond Economics
Labour Market Bounce
Brian Romanchuk

Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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