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[Four star] Admiral James Stavridis has commanded U.S. warships in the South China Sea. In his new novel, he writes about a war between China and America – a scenario he considers to be extremely realistic.…Sounds like an intriguing novel by a guy who knows whereof he writes. He says it's aim in anti-war. This is not a situation for sleepwalking or bluff. Accidents happen and commitments can backfire.Graham Allison![]()
went back 2,500 years to ancient Athens and Sparta and looked at what happens when an established power is challenged by a rising power. The last time that happened is certainly familiar to Germans: It was when the British Empire was challenged by the Kaiser’s Germany. The reason we wrote "2034"
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[Four star] Admiral James Stavridis has commanded U.S. warships in the South China Sea. In his new novel, he writes about a war between China and America – a scenario he considers to be extremely realistic.…Sounds like an intriguing novel by a guy who knows whereof he writes. He says it's aim in anti-war. This is not a situation for sleepwalking or bluff. Accidents happen and commitments can backfire.Graham Allison
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Mike Norman considers the following as important:
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[Four star] Admiral James Stavridis has commanded U.S. warships in the South China Sea. In his new novel, he writes about a war between China and America – a scenario he considers to be extremely realistic.…Sounds like an intriguing novel by a guy who knows whereof he writes. He says it's aim in anti-war. This is not a situation for sleepwalking or bluff. Accidents happen and commitments can backfire.
Graham Allison [author of "Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?"] went back 2,500 years to ancient Athens and Sparta and looked at what happens when an established power is challenged by a rising power. The last time that happened is certainly familiar to Germans: It was when the British Empire was challenged by the Kaiser’s Germany. The reason we wrote "2034" was not to predict a conflict but to warn people, to write a cautionary tale which could allow us to figure out what we need to do to avoid stumbling into a major war.…
Good read.
Spiegel Online — English
The U.S.-China Confrontation: "We Need To Avoid Stumbling into a Major War"
The U.S.-China Confrontation: "We Need To Avoid Stumbling into a Major War"
Bernhard Zang interviews Admiral James Stavridis, US Navy (retired)
See also
There’s no question that, in the national security state, there’s a search for the new enemy that will maintain the ability of the national security state to lay claim to resources on a mammoth scale.
Jacobin
Andrew Bacevich on Ending the US’s Forever WarsInterview with Andrew Bacevich, professor emeritus of international relations and history at Boston University