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The U.S.-China Confrontation: “We Need To Avoid Stumbling into a Major War” — Bernhard Zang interviews Admiral James Stavridis

Summary:
[Four star] Admiral James Stavridis has commanded U.S. warships in the South China Sea. In his new novel, he writes about a war between China and America – a scenario he considers to be extremely realistic.…Sounds like an intriguing novel by a guy who knows whereof he writes. He says it's aim in anti-war.  This is not a situation for sleepwalking or bluff. Accidents happen and commitments can backfire.Graham Allison 

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went back 2,500 years to ancient Athens and Sparta and looked at what happens when an established power is challenged by a rising power. The last time that happened is certainly familiar to Germans: It was when the British Empire was challenged by the Kaiser’s Germany. The reason we wrote "2034"

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[Four star] Admiral James Stavridis has commanded U.S. warships in the South China Sea. In his new novel, he writes about a war between China and America – a scenario he considers to be extremely realistic.…
Sounds like an intriguing novel by a guy who knows whereof he writes. He says it's aim in anti-war.  This is not a situation for sleepwalking or bluff. Accidents happen and commitments can backfire.
Graham Allison [author of "Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?"] went back 2,500 years to ancient Athens and Sparta and looked at what happens when an established power is challenged by a rising power. The last time that happened is certainly familiar to Germans: It was when the British Empire was challenged by the Kaiser’s Germany. The reason we wrote "2034" was not to predict a conflict but to warn people, to write a cautionary tale which could allow us to figure out what we need to do to avoid stumbling into a major war.…

Good read. 

Spiegel Online — English
The U.S.-China Confrontation: "We Need To Avoid Stumbling into a Major War"
Bernhard Zang interviews Admiral James Stavridis, US Navy (retired)

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Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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