Summary:
[Four star] Admiral James Stavridis has commanded U.S. warships in the South China Sea. In his new novel, he writes about a war between China and America – a scenario he considers to be extremely realistic.…Sounds like an intriguing novel by a guy who knows whereof he writes. He says it's aim in anti-war. This is not a situation for sleepwalking or bluff. Accidents happen and commitments can backfire.Graham Allison went back 2,500 years to ancient Athens and Sparta and looked at what happens when an established power is challenged by a rising power. The last time that happened is certainly familiar to Germans: It was when the British Empire was challenged by the Kaiser’s Germany. The reason we wrote "2034"
Topics:
Mike Norman considers the following as important:
This could be interesting, too:
[Four star] Admiral James Stavridis has commanded U.S. warships in the South China Sea. In his new novel, he writes about a war between China and America – a scenario he considers to be extremely realistic.…Sounds like an intriguing novel by a guy who knows whereof he writes. He says it's aim in anti-war. This is not a situation for sleepwalking or bluff. Accidents happen and commitments can backfire.Graham Allison went back 2,500 years to ancient Athens and Sparta and looked at what happens when an established power is challenged by a rising power. The last time that happened is certainly familiar to Germans: It was when the British Empire was challenged by the Kaiser’s Germany. The reason we wrote "2034"
Topics:
Mike Norman considers the following as important:
This could be interesting, too:
Lars Pålsson Syll writes Andreas Cervenka och den svenska bostadsbubblan
Mike Norman writes Trade deficit
Merijn T. Knibbe writes Christmas thoughts about counting the dead in zones of armed conflict.
Lars Pålsson Syll writes Debunking the balanced budget superstition
[Four star] Admiral James Stavridis has commanded U.S. warships in the South China Sea. In his new novel, he writes about a war between China and America – a scenario he considers to be extremely realistic.…Sounds like an intriguing novel by a guy who knows whereof he writes. He says it's aim in anti-war. This is not a situation for sleepwalking or bluff. Accidents happen and commitments can backfire.
Graham Allison [author of "Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?"] went back 2,500 years to ancient Athens and Sparta and looked at what happens when an established power is challenged by a rising power. The last time that happened is certainly familiar to Germans: It was when the British Empire was challenged by the Kaiser’s Germany. The reason we wrote "2034" was not to predict a conflict but to warn people, to write a cautionary tale which could allow us to figure out what we need to do to avoid stumbling into a major war.…
Good read.
Spiegel Online — English
The U.S.-China Confrontation: "We Need To Avoid Stumbling into a Major War"
The U.S.-China Confrontation: "We Need To Avoid Stumbling into a Major War"
Bernhard Zang interviews Admiral James Stavridis, US Navy (retired)
See also
There’s no question that, in the national security state, there’s a search for the new enemy that will maintain the ability of the national security state to lay claim to resources on a mammoth scale.
Jacobin
Andrew Bacevich on Ending the US’s Forever WarsInterview with Andrew Bacevich, professor emeritus of international relations and history at Boston University