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The Great Vacation: Recessions In DSGE Models (Part II) — Brian Romanchuk

Summary:
The Great Vacation Effect is what I term one well-known pathological side effect of almost all macro dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models: since employment hours are a voluntary decision in the household optimisation problem the direct implication that unemployment is voluntary as well. As such, The Great Depression can be interpreted as The Great Vacation. Although this silliness is well known, the silliness has nasty side effects for recession analysis. This article continues the discussion of the previous part, turning to the question of why this effect matters even if we suspend disbelief with respect to the interpretation of unemployment....Bond Economics The Great Vacation: Recessions In DSGE Models (Part II)Brian Romanchuk

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The Great Vacation Effect is what I term one well-known pathological side effect of almost all macro dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models: since employment hours are a voluntary decision in the household optimisation problem the direct implication that unemployment is voluntary as well. As such, The Great Depression can be interpreted as The Great Vacation. Although this silliness is well known, the silliness has nasty side effects for recession analysis. This article continues the discussion of the previous part, turning to the question of why this effect matters even if we suspend disbelief with respect to the interpretation of unemployment....
Bond Economics
The Great Vacation: Recessions In DSGE Models (Part II)
Brian Romanchuk
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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