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Links — 3 Apr 2022

Summary:
State of Play. Mopping up Mariupol. Regrouping from Kiev. All Eyes on Donbass.The Vineyard of the SakerSitrep: Operation ZNightvisionhttp://thesaker.is/sitrep-operation-z-4/India PunchlineDonbass still remains key battleground M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service and former ambassadorhttps://www.indianpunchline.com/donbass-still-remains-key-battleground/The Dreizin ReportThis month will decide world politics for next 30+ yearshttps://thedreizinreport.com/2022/03/31/this-month-will-decide-world-politics-for-next-30-years/ The Reading JunkieWe Seriously Underestimated Russia; Our Own Propaganda is Killing Us (as far as I can tell, this misreading of Russian capabilities continues.)Ian

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State of Play. Mopping up Mariupol. Regrouping from Kiev. All Eyes on Donbass.

The Vineyard of the Saker
Sitrep: Operation Z
Nightvision
http://thesaker.is/sitrep-operation-z-4/

India Punchline
M. K. Bhadrakumar | retired diplomat with the Indian Foreign Service and former ambassador
https://www.indianpunchline.com/donbass-still-remains-key-battleground/

The Dreizin Report
This month will decide world politics for next 30+ years
https://thedreizinreport.com/2022/03/31/this-month-will-decide-world-politics-for-next-30-years/

The Reading Junkie
We Seriously Underestimated Russia; Our Own Propaganda is Killing Us (as far as I can tell, this misreading of Russian capabilities continues.)
Ian Kummer
https://readingjunkie.com/2022/04/02/we-seriously-underestimated-russia-our-own-propaganda-is-killing-us/

Moon of Alabama
The MoA Week In Review - OT 2022-40
https://www.blogger.com/blog/post/edit/2761684730989137546/5185148661057522343#

SouthFront (sanctioned by the US Treasury Department)
Ramzan Kadyrov On Strange Behaviour Of Part Of Russian Elite (regardless of what one may think of Kadryov, he and his Chechen fighters are fierce warriors in the ancient tradition and they speak their truth without fear, in the case to the Kremlin.)
https://southfront.org/ramzan-kadyrov-on-strange-behaviour-of-part-of-russian-elite/

RT (Russian state-sponsored media)
Zelensky can offer Russia sanctions relief for peace, US says (doesn't sound like it is coming from a position of strength. It also overestimates the effect of sanctions on Russia.)
https://www.rt.com/news/553240-us-says-ukraine-can-offer-russia-sanctions-relief/

Russian "genocide," or "false flag" to bring in NATO? Skepticism advised!

Contrary to overwhelming media coverage that accepts the allegations at face value, this would appear to be disinformation/psyops for a number of reasons. This is important for several reasons. First, establishing the truth is obviously important, e.g, in the matter of justice, and truth is difficult to discover in wartime. Jumping to conclusions is unsound. Secondly, this media campaign involves a push from the side of Ukraine to widen the war by bringing in NATO. Thirdly, it ramps up irrationality in the West, which is already at a very high level.. Fourthly, this combination makes a confrontation between nuclear superpowers much more likely, with the probability of escalation to a full nuclear exchange high. It's time to get some perspective, actually beyond time to do so. Matters are already out of hand.

The first reason to doubt that the Russian military was involved is operational. The Russian military slowed its advance in order to limit harm to civilians, evidenced by the low ratio of civilian to military casualties, which Scott Ritter called a mistake militarily. It was a political decision accompanied with with a Kremlin warning of prosecution of anyone doing so. The US interpreted it as a sign of ineptness. According to Ritter, it was not what the US would have done or has done in previous operations, including bombing Belgrade for 78 days running. 

Secondly, there are plausible alternatives. Is it more likely that Russian military withdrawing from positions would kill unarmed civilians for no apparent reason, or that the UAF would penalize civilians that had collaborated and blame Russian troops for the atrocity. Killing civilians is what Nazis do. It is why Russia is in Ukraine in the first place, having calling out the killing of thousands of civilian in Donbass over the past eight years "genocide,"information regarding which has been either suppressed or denies in the West.

There are many other reasons, such as cui bono, which all one needs is some common sense to answer. Russia didn't need to do this and had everything to lose . Ukraine had many reason to do so.  Next, there is the disinformation/psyops campaign already in in play that is demonizing Russia and all things Russian, not just "Putin." Then there is the question of credibility of evidence, as investigated in some of the links below. In short, it would be irrational for the Russian military to do it and rational for the Ukrainians to do so. The counter explanation is the Russians are subhuman, which is the basis for the neoNazi "genocide" against Donbass and why Russia calls it "genocide."

First the charges against the Russians, equated with "Putin." Then the counter-evidence.

Interfax Ukraine
https://ua.interfax.com.ua/news/general/820700.html


https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/820700.html
Yanchenk Halyna
https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/blog/820692.html

https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20220403-slideshow-death-destruction-in-wake-of-russian-troop-withdrawal-from-northern-ukraine

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/zelensky-putin-genocide-ukraine-b2049997.html

Sputnik International (Russian state-sponsored media)
Dnepropetrovsk Mayor Calls For Slaughter of Russians Around the World
https://sputniknews.com/20220403/dnepropetrovsk-mayor-calls-for-slaughter-of-russians-around-the-world-1094445455.html

Video: Kiev Territorial Defence in Bucha Given Green Light to Shoot Those Not Wearing Blue Bandage
https://sputniknews.com/20220403/kiev-territorial-defence-fighters-in-bucha-were-allowed-to-shoot-anyone-not-wearing-blue-bandages-1094446000.html

Southfront (sanctioned by the US Treasury Department)
UPDATED: AFU Crimes In Bucha, Kiev Region. False Flag Propaganda Attack Against Russia Revealed (Photos, Video)
https://southfront.org/afu-crimes-in-bucha-kiev-region-false-flag-propaganda-attack-against-russia-revealed-photos-video/

Gonzalo Lira
Bucha: More Lies
https://youtu.be/O0qcv4bYPlohttps://youtu.be/O0qcv4bYPlo

TASS (Russian state media
West’s statements on Bucha leave no doubts about who contracted this story - diplomat [Maria Zhakarova]
https://tass.com/politics/1431811

Russia requests UNSC meeting on April 4 over situation in Ukraine’s Bucha - diplomat

https://tass.com/politics/1431799

Al Jazeera
Russia-Ukraine live news: UN chief urges independent Bucha probe (The problem with an "independent UN probe" is that Un chief Antonio Guterres had already taken sides in the conflict.)
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/4/3/russia-ukraine-live-news-un-chief-urges-independent-bucha-probe-liveblog
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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