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What Really Drives Long-Term Interest Rates? — Brett Palatiello and Philip Pilkington

Summary:
Yves here. It’s gratifying to see Philip Pilkington, who wrote some fine pieces for this humble blog before landing at a major investment firm, back to writing articles for the general public. Here, with co-author Brett Palatiello, Pilkington takes on the old canard of the loanable funds theory and demonstrates that it’s irrelevant to setting of long-term interest rates. For those not familiar with it, the “loanable funds” theory stipulates that there is a pool of savings from which loans and investments are made. Long-term interest rates supposedly represent the clearing price for the demand v. the supply for funds. The loanable funds theory plays a major role in mainstream macroeconomic models....Naked CapitalismWhat Really Drives Long-Term Interest Rates?Brett Palatiello, Head of

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Yves here. It’s gratifying to see Philip Pilkington, who wrote some fine pieces for this humble blog before landing at a major investment firm, back to writing articles for the general public. Here, with co-author Brett Palatiello, Pilkington takes on the old canard of the loanable funds theory and demonstrates that it’s irrelevant to setting of long-term interest rates. For those not familiar with it, the “loanable funds” theory stipulates that there is a pool of savings from which loans and investments are made. Long-term interest rates supposedly represent the clearing price for the demand v. the supply for funds. The loanable funds theory plays a major role in mainstream macroeconomic models....
Naked Capitalism
What Really Drives Long-Term Interest Rates?
Brett Palatiello, Head of Systematic Macro & Equities, Ridgewood Analytica, and Philip Pilkington
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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