A post by Steve Waldman -- Peace as war by other means -- reminds me of a recent post by Big Serge: Politics By Other Means - Putin and Clausewitz. I highly recommend that post in its entirety. It is a tour de force, in my opinion. Both the Waldman and Big Serge posts zoom out to look at the long term interests for the two sides in the current war. Both recognize that “War is the mere continuation of politics by other means", as Clausewitz wrote. The Waldman post suggests that we move from war back to non-violent politics. Russia and Ukraine have legitimate differences which can't be papered over. Since war is often lose-lose, it would make sense for the two countries to compete for hearts and minds in the political and economic arenas. May the best country win, but not at the
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A post by Steve Waldman -- Peace as war by other means -- reminds me of a recent post by Big Serge: Politics By Other Means - Putin and Clausewitz. I highly recommend that post in its entirety. It is a tour de force, in my opinion. Both the Waldman and Big Serge posts zoom out to look at the long term interests for the two sides in the current war. Both recognize that “War is the mere continuation of politics by other means", as Clausewitz wrote.
The Waldman post suggests that we move from war back to non-violent politics. Russia and Ukraine have legitimate differences which can't be papered over. Since war is often lose-lose, it would make sense for the two countries to compete for hearts and minds in the political and economic arenas. May the best country win, but not at the expense of tens of thousands of soldiers and innocent civilians.
Big Serge, on the other hand, sees that Russia has the laid the groundwork for victory in an existential battle with the West. Russia has been losing politically for years or decades, and Russian leadership came to the conclusion that its very existence as an independent culture was at stake given the political trends and the positioning of the Western military. The Russian leadership therefore consciously chose to go to war in Ukraine in order to turn the political tide. The current war will be win-lose, and Russia will win in that their political objective of stopping Western encroachment will be achieved.
War is indeed politics by other (violent) means. The West is engaged in a proxy war. Russia is engaged in an existential war. As Big Serge puts it:
Putin and those around him conceived of the Russo-Ukrainian War in existential terms from the very beginning. It is unlikely, however, that most Russians understood this. Instead, they likely viewed the war the same way Americans viewed the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan - as justified military enterprises that were nevertheless merely a technocratic task for the professional military; hardly a matter of life and death for the nation…What has happened in the months since February 24 is rather remarkable. The existential war for the Russian nation has been incarnated and made real for Russian citizens. Sanctions and anti-Russian propaganda - demonizing the entire nation as “orcs” - has rallied even initially skeptical Russians behind the war, and Putin’s approval rating has soared. A core western assumption, that Russians would turn on the government, has reversed. Videos showing the torture of Russian POWs by frothing Ukrainians, of Ukrainian soldiers calling Russian mothers to mockingly tell them their sons are dead, of Russian children killed by shelling in Donetsk, have served to validate Putin’s implicit claim that Ukraine is a demon possessed state that must be exorcised with high explosives. Amidst all of this - helpfully, from the perspective of Alexander Dugin and his neophytes - American pseudo-intellectual “Blue Checks” have publicly drooled over the prospect of “decolonizing and demilitarizing” Russia, which plainly entails the dismemberment of the Russian state and the partitioning of its territory. The government of Ukraine (in now deleted tweets) publicly claimed that Russians are prone to barbarism because they are a mongrel race with Asiatic blood mixing.Simultaneously, Putin has moved towards - and ultimately achieved - his project of formal annexation of Ukraine’s old eastern rim. This has also legally transformed the war into an existential struggle. Further Ukrainian advances in the east are now, in the eyes of the Russian state, an assault on sovereign Russian territory and an attempt to destroy the integrity of the Russian state. Recent polling shows that a supermajority of Russians support defending these new territories at any cost.All domains now align. Putin and company conceived of this war from the beginning as an existential struggle for Russia, to eject an anti-Russian puppet state from its doorstep and defeat a hostile incursion into Russian civilizational space. Public opinion is now increasingly in agreement with this (surveys show that Russian distrust of NATO and “western values” have skyrocketed), and the legal framework post-annexation recognizes this as well. The ideological, political, and legal domains are now united in the view that Russia is fighting for its very existence in Ukraine…All that remains is the implementation of this consensus in the material world of fist and boot, bullet and shell, blood and iron.