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Reasons For Scepticism About Nominal GDP Targeting — Brian Romanchuk

Summary:
There has been an ongoing push for a switch to nominal GDP targeting by Market Monetarists and some mainstream allies. Although I agree that being able to hit a nominal GDP target would be attractive, it would also be attractive to have a yacht. There are a few fundamental issues with nominal GDP targeting. The first is that the target is going to be harder to hit than an inflation target. The second is that it is unclear how much of an advantage the change would have in practice — as opposed to in neoclassical models. Finally, it looks like a much harder proposition to convince voters that a nominal GDP target makes more sense than an inflation target....Bond EconomicsReasons For Scepticism About Nominal GDP TargetingBrian

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 There has been an ongoing push for a switch to nominal GDP targeting by Market Monetarists and some mainstream allies. Although I agree that being able to hit a nominal GDP target would be attractive, it would also be attractive to have a yacht. There are a few fundamental issues with nominal GDP targeting. The first is that the target is going to be harder to hit than an inflation target. The second is that it is unclear how much of an advantage the change would have in practice — as opposed to in neoclassical models. Finally, it looks like a much harder proposition to convince voters that a nominal GDP target makes more sense than an inflation target....

Bond Economics
Reasons For Scepticism About Nominal GDP Targeting
Brian Romanchuk

http://www.bondeconomics.com/2022/08/reasons-for-scepticism-about-nominal.html
Mike Norman
Mike Norman is an economist and veteran trader whose career has spanned over 30 years on Wall Street. He is a former member and trader on the CME, NYMEX, COMEX and NYFE and he managed money for one of the largest hedge funds and ran a prop trading desk for Credit Suisse.

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