Must-read. It is not only worth reading but also studying.Samir Amin, recently deceased, was an Egyptian-French Marxist economist. The analysis presented in this post is spot on.It reveals the plan of West (US) since China's "opening up" under Deng, and now the Trump Administration in particular, to submit the Chinese economy and therefore China to Western (US) domination both economically and politically."Liberalization" is a trap. Europe fell into it, although the UK wisely refrained from...
Read More »Keyu Jin — What China Can Gain from Trump’s Trade War
An unintended outcome of US President Donald Trump's trade war is that China will reduce its reliance on foreign trade and imported technologies. The end result could be a China that is stronger, more resilient, and possibly less willing to acquiesce to US-designed rules. No brainer. I've been saying this since the beginning of the so-called trade war. Like Russia, this is just forcing China to speed up what it was already committed to do in becoming more self-sufficient and developing the...
Read More »Brad DeLong — I have been a “China is unlikely to keep its model going for more than another five years—a decade tops” perma-bear since 1988.
I have been a "China is unlikely to keep its model going for more than another five years—a decade tops" perma-bear since 1988. All I understand is that I do not understand the Chinese economy. I wish I did understand it: Arvind Subramanian and Josh Felman: R.I.P. Chinese Exceptionalism?: "Over the past few decades, China’s growth has appeared to violate certain fundamental laws of economics.... China’s debt keeps on rising.... For any normal country, the build-up of extensive surplus...
Read More »Branko Milanovic — Hayekian communism
"Hayekian communism" an oxymoron? Branko Milanovic says not at all.Global InequalityHayekian communismBranko Milanovic | Visiting Presidential Professor at City University of New York Graduate Center and senior scholar at the Luxembourg Income Study (LIS), and formerly lead economist in the World Bank's research department and senior associate at Carnegie Endowment for International PeaceSee also After amply discussing income inequality in Europe and the US, economists are now looking at...
Read More »Anatole Kaletsky — Why the US Would Lose A Trade War with China
In handicapping the US-China conflict, Keynesian demand management is a better guide than comparative advantage. In principle, China can avoid any damage at all from US tariffs simply by responding with a full-scale Keynesian stimulus.... Trump’s surprisingly successful rhetorical technique of “shout loudly and carry a white flag” helps to explain the consistent inconsistency of his foreign policy. The US-China trade war is likely to provide the next example. Project SyndicateWhy the US...
Read More »Zero Hedge — Ex-PBOC Head Warns China’s Exporters Could Soon Ditch The US
Former Chinese central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan suggested on Wednesday that the direct impact on China of the trade war with the US "appears limited," though it could quickly prompt China’s top exporters to pivot away from US markets. Xiaochuan, who left the bank in March after 15 years at the helm, told Reuters that China's economy would be stable in 2018, with an expected growth rate of 6.5%…. Reuters said Xiaochuan downplayed the idea that protectionism will severely affect economic...
Read More »Reuters — China will use trade war with U.S. to replace imports: state media
China is not afraid of “extreme measures” the United States is taking in their trade war and will use it as an opportunity to replace imports, promote localization and accelerate the development of high-tech products, state media said. The People’s Daily newspaper, which is published by the ruling Communist Party, made the comments in a front-page article in its overseas edition on Wednesday.... China to follow Russia's lead in import substitution. This means that those markets will be...
Read More »Genia Kostka — China’s social credit systems are highly popular – for now
China did not have a credit rating system previously and the quickly expanding economy along with ecommerce required one, since credit is an essentially aspect of a modern monetary production economy, which China adopted during the era of Deng Xiaoping in introducing a market-based economy. Apparently it is a popular in spite of receiving a lot of bad press in the West as being controlling. Well, it turns out that the Chinese are fans of good order and tehy view the social credit system as...
Read More »Frank Li — John Maynard Keynes: The Best Economist Since 1899?
In a previous post (Milton Friedman: A Man of the Past?), I concluded that Milton Friedman, an extreme advocator of "free market" and individualism, is mostly an economist of the past. In this post, I will highlight John Maynard Keynes, a balanced advocator of both "free market" and "managed market", as the best economist since 1899.... Frank Li is a Chinese ex-pat now a businessman in the US, has a BE, ME, and PdD in electrical engineering. So cut him some space on the economics. He is...
Read More »Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng — How Cities Are Saving China
China is finding its way alone as new type of socio-economic system on the scene that also has to interact with the current world order. It's doing all right, and even great as far as development economics goes. Project SyndicateHow Cities Are Saving China Andrew Sheng, Distinguished Fellow of the Asia Global Institute at the University of Hong Kong and a member of the UNEP Advisory Council on Sustainable Finance, former chairman of the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, and...
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